Information Pertaining to the Final Exam
Basics
The official exam period is 1:30-4:15 PM on Monday, December 11.
You are expected to take the exam during the official time slot.
Exceptions to this policy will rarely be made, and may involve getting approval from the dean's office.
The final exam is an open books and open notes exam.
You can use whatever printed or written material that you bring with you
to the exam. You cannot share books or notes during the exam.
You can use a calculator and/or computer during the exam. (With a computer, you can only go to the course Blackboard site, an electronic version of the text book, and
Wofram Alpha (or use a software package such as Mathematica or Maple that does things similar to Wolfram Alpha). During the exam period, you may not use a phone until you turn in your exam paper to me.
Description of the Exam
The exam will be 6 problems having a total of 11 parts.
Each part will be worth 10 points, and I'll count your best 10 of 11 scores.
One problem will have 6 parts. For it, you'll be given a joint pdf and asked to obtain
(a) a marginal pdf, (b) a conditional pdf, (c) a conditional expectation,
(d) the pdf of a function of X and Y,
(e) the covariance
of X and Y,
and (f) the variance of a linear combination of X and Y.
The other 5 problems will focus on these topics:
- approximating a probability using the central limit theorem (CLT),
- obtaining a probability using a linear function of independent normal random variables,
- using a mfg to obtain an expectation,
- obtaining the cdf or pdf of a minimum or maximum of two random variables that aren't iid (so instead of plugging into a formula, you should use the cdf method),
- obtaining an expected value by expressing a random variable of interest as a sum of simple random variables (perhaps random variables that only take the
values 0 and 1).
I strongly suggest that you focus your studying on making sure you know how to handle the types of problems indicated in the above description.
(Consider this to be a very precise description of the exam. My guess is that seldom in your time at GMU will you be given such a narrowly focused study guide
for a final exam.)
What to Study
The most important things are given below in bold font,
and the very most important things are given below in
red bold font.
Don't get bogged down with the details of the definitions. I think it'll be best to focus on
understanding the important problems and examples listed towards the bottom of this web page.
(For most of the things listed below, I hope that you'll be able to take a glance, nod your head in recognition that it seems familiar, and quickly move on to the next item.)
Chapter 8
(Although discrete random variables are important too, to make the exam easier to prepare for, I'll limit coverage of this chapter to the parts pertaining to
continuous random variables.)
- Definition 8.3 on p. 333 (alternatively, see the 6th line below the Joint Desities heading on p. 8-8 of the course notes for a more user-friendly version)
- (8.5) & (8.6) on p. 335
- Definition 8.4 on p. 335
- bold-faced results on bottom half of p. 336 (pertaining to expected values)
- Theorem 8.2 on p. 341
- Corollary on p. 341
- 1st 3 lines of Sec. 8.2 on p. 348
- Theorem 8.3 on p. 349
- Theorem 8.5 on p. 350
- Theorem 8.6 on p. 350-351
- Theorem 8.7 on p. 352
- top line of p. 356
- (8.21) and (8.22) on p. 366
- (8.24) on p. 368
- (8.25) on p. 369
- the "cdf method" for finding the pdf of a function of two random variables
(strongly emphasized in class but not text, and so study the examples on pages 8-13, 8-15, 8-23, and the bottom half of 8-33 of the course notes)
Chapter 9
- know how to obtain the pdf of the sample minimum and sample maximum of
two continuous random variables (know this for the case of iid random variables, with independent but not
identically distributed random variables, and also if the random variables are not independent)
Chapter 10
- Theorem 10.1 on p. 429
- Corollary on p. 430
- Definition on p. 439
- Theorem 10.4 on p. 440
- (10.4), (10.5), and (10.6) on p. 440
- (10.9), (10.10), (10.11), and (10.12) on p. 444
- Lemma 10.1 on p. 446
- Definition on p. 451
- Theorem 10.5 on p. 451
Chapter 11
- Theorem 11.1 on p. 484
- Theorem 11.6 on p. 495
- Theorem 11.7 and bold-faced result following theorem on p. 496
- Theorem 11.12 on p. 520, Remark 11.2, and Remark 11.3 on p. 521, and know how to
obtain approximate probabilities involving sums and sample means of iid random variables using the CLT (see bottom of p. 11-22 of the course notes)
a few examples from the class notes to try to understand well
- example on bottom half of p. 8-11
- example on p. 8-31
- example on p. 10-7
- in the example on pages 10-14 and 10-15 know how to obtain the marginal pdf of X and the value of E(XY)
- using the mgf derived in the example on p. 11-4 to obtain the value of E(X)
- using the mgf derived in the example on p. 11-5 to obtain the value of E(X)
- example on p. 11-14
- example on p. 11-23
- example on p. 11-24
good homework problems to review
- Problem 1, HW 9 (even though this is based on Ch. 7, some of the skills used in obtaining the answer are useful for solving CLT problems of Ch. 11 (try solving it using p. 11-22 of the notes))
- parts (a) and (b) of Problem 7, HW 9
- parts (a) and (b) of Problem 1, HW 10
- Problem 2, HW 11 (and also obtain the conditional expectation given in the parenthetical comment)
- Problem 4, HW 11
(I recommend that you also obtain the cdf of the minimum of X and Y.)
- Problem 1, HW 12
- Problem 2, HW 12
- Problem 3, HW 12
- Problem 4, HW 12
-
Problem 7 of HW 12 from my 2010 class
-
Problem 5 of HW 13 from my 2010 class
Link to four more nice problems
(with the 1st and 3rd problems perhaps being the best ones to do if you're short on time to prepare for the exam),
and a link to solutions for parts 2(g), 3(b), & 4(a).