Press Coverage of the Policy Analysis Market

The following is all press coverage known to me on the Policy Analysis Market that does not mention Robin Hanson.


Pierre Thomas, Betting on Terror Controversial Website, ABC News, World News Tonight with Peter Jennings, 06:30 ET, July 28, 2003.

Linda Douglass, Secret Spending Betting On Terror, ABC News, World News Tonight with Peter Jennings, 06:30 ET, July 29, 2003.

Defense Dept. Program Taking Terror Bets; Program Models 'Futures' Markets,, 5:57 a.m. EDT July 29, 2003.

Melissa McDermott (anchor), Newscast: Pentagon may allow traders to profit by predicting terror attacks or assassinations, CBS News: Morning News, July 29, 2003.

Pat Buchanan (anchor); Ron Reagan; Tom Aspell; Andrea Mitchell, Show Buchanan & Press (18:00), MSNBC, July 29, 2003.

Anderson Cooper (anchor), Anderson Cooper's Final Thought, Show Live from the headlines (19:00), CNN, July 29, 2003.

Pentagon plans "terror" stock exchange, NDTV, July 29, 2003.

Pentagon axes online terror bets, BBC World News, 29 July, 2003.

Tom Brokaw (anchor), Program for futures trading market on terrorist events canceled by Pentagon, NBC Nightly News (6:30 PM ET), NBC, July 29, 2003.

Terror Betting Torpedoed, CBS News and AP, July 29, 2003.

Roger Ward, Terror-Futures, Broadcast News (Canada), NewsWatch, 00:16 GMT, July 30, 2003.

Lou Dobbs (Anchor), Moneyline News Hour, CNNfn, 31 July 31, 2003.

Bob Woodruff (anchor), Poindexter resigns, World News Tonight with Peter Jennings (06:30 PM ET), ABC, July 31, 2003.

Kyra Phillips (anchor) and Barbara Starr, Admiral John Poindexter Will Resign, CNN: Breaking News, July 31, 2003.

Brian Williams (anchor), Newscast: John Poindexter, responsible for canceled futures trading market in terrorism resigns, NBC News: Nightly News, July 31, 2003.

Terror Betting Plan Honcho To Quit, CBS News and AP, July 31, 2003.

Gloria Borger (anchor), Terrorist futures market, CNBC News Transcripts, Show Capital Report, (9:00 PM ET), CNBC, August 1, 2003.

Louis Rukeyser, Commentary: Failed controversial proposal of online futures market to predict terrorist activity could have other applications in the economic and financial marketplace, CNBC: Louis Rukeyser's Wall Street, August 1, 2003.

Andy Borowitz, Commentary: Ideas for futures markets, NPR: Weekend Edition, August 3, 2003.

William Spain, Betting on Bush's next global move - Proposed futures market models Pentagon Terrorism plan, CBS MarketWatch, 12:01 AM ET Aug. 8, 2003.

James Arnold, Bush for president? You bet!, BBC News, November 5, 2004.

Stephen Evans, Futures market right on new Pope, BBC News, 17:23:00 GMT, April 19, 2005.


Kai Ryssdal (anchor), B.B. Rivera (reporter), Proposed policy analysis market, Marketplace Morning Report, (6:50 AM ET), July 29, 2003.

Robert Siegel (anchor), Larry Abramson (reporter), How the Policy Analysis Market would have worked, All Things Considered, (9:00 PM ET), NPR, July 29, 2003.

Michele Norris (anchor), David Welna (reporter), Reaction to Pentagon's proposed terror futures market, All Things Considered, (9:00 PM ET), NPR, July 29, 2003.

Cheryl Glaser (anchor), Bob Moon (reporter), Pentagon scraps terrorism futures plan, Marketplace, (6:30 PM ET), July 29, 2003.

Cheryl Glaser (anchor), Filler: Satirical look at DARPA, Minnesota Public Radio - Marketplace, 29 July 2003.

'Terror Futures Market' Reaps Criticism from US Congress, Voice of America, 19:21 UTC, 29 July 2003.

Nick Grimm (anchor), Pentagon terror futures market, Australian Broadcasting Corporation, July 29, 2003.

Alan Murray and Gloria Borger (hosts), John Poindexter is reportedly likely to soon leave post, CNBC: Capital Report, July 30, 2003.

Controversial Member of Defense Research Agency to Resign, Voice of America, 20:48 UTC, July 31, 2003.

Pentagon - Terrorism - Futures, Voice of America, July 31, 2003.

Robert Siegel (host) and Tom Gjelten, Analysis: Resignation of John Poindexter from the Pentagon, NPR: All Things Considered, July 31, 2003.

Neal Conan (host) and Steven Aftergood, Interview: Steven Aftergood discusses DARPA, NPR: Talk of the Nation, July 31, 2003.

Cherl Glaser (anchor), John Poindexter to quit Pentagon after futures market plan set off political firestorm, Minnesota Public Radio: Marketplace, July 31, 2003.

News Wires

Gambling on terrorism?, Associated Press, July 29, 2003.

Pentagon To Abandon Terror-Futures Mkt-Senate Panel Chmn, Dow Jones International News, 15:26 GMT, July 29, 2003. Second update, to Pentagon Drops Terror-Futures Idea Amid Outrage, 17:56 GMT.

Pentagon terror futures market scrapped - Wolfowitz, Reuters News, 16:19 GMT, July 29, 2003.

Warner Says Pentagon To Scrap Terror-Futures Market Plan, Dow Jones Business News, 17:07 GMT, July 29, 2003.

New Mexico senator calls for head of agency to resign , Associated Press Newswires, 07:54 pm, July 29, 2003.

Deborah Zabarenko, Pentagon scraps terror futures market, Reuters News 19:52 GMT, July 29, 2003, also in Calgary Herald, (Alberta, Canada), July 30, 2003.

Mike Madden, Amid outcry, Pentagon scraps plans for terror futures market, Gannett News Service, July 29, 2003.

Jeff Milchen, Terror Trading Market: Business as Usual for This Administration, Pacific News Service, July 29, 2003.

Pentagon terminates scheme for online betting on future terrorist attacks, Agence France Presse, July 29, 2003.

Ken Guggenheim, Pentagon abandons plan to establish threat-bet futures program, The Canadian Press 20:17 GMT, July 29, 2003.

George Edmonson, Pentagon halts terror betting plan, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, July 29, 2003.

Ken Guggenheim, GOP senators said they had few clues about terror market plans, Associated Press Newswires, 07:23 GMT, July 30, 2003.

US GOP Sens: Budget Proposals Unclear On Terror Futures, Dow Jones International News, 12:00 GMT, July 30, 2003.

John Connor, Capital Views: 'Dr. Strangelove Meets The Invisible Hand', Dow Jones Capital Markets Report, 15:18 GMT, July 30, 2003.

Rumsfeld says nixed terror futures plan after flap, Reuters News, 23:14 GMT, July 30, 2003.

Pentagon Shuts Down Terror Futures Market, Periscope Daily Defense News Capsules, July 30, 2003.

Poindexter to Give up Post Amid Terror-Market Flap, Dow Jones Business News, 22:24 GMT, July 31, 2003.

Poindexter to resign - defense official, Agence France Presse, July 31, 2003.

USA - Poindexter to Step Down, Periscope Daily Defense News Capsules, August 1, 2003.

Mike Hedge, A certain confusion over Terror Australis, Australian Associated Press, August 1, 2003.

Eric Burroughs, Online exchanges mull Pentagon `terror futures', Reuters News, 18:45 GMT, August 7, 2003.

Maxim Kniazkov, `Misunderstood' Poindexter to leave Bush administration, Agence France Presse, August 13, 2003.

Exotic Branch Of US Defense Dept Stumbles Into Limelight, Dow Jones International News, 23:10 GMT, September 1, 2003.

Spencer Jakab, Influence Of Information Markets Spreading In Finance, Dow Jones International News, 01:17 PM, April 8, 2005.

Daily Print Media

The nation Pentagon plan oks betting on terrorism, The Augusta Chronicle, (Georgia), July 29, 2003.

Tom Bowman, Pentagon's Futures Market Idea to Predict Terrorism Raises Privacy Concerns, The Baltimore Sun, (Maryland), July 29, 2003.

Josh Meyer, The Nation; Trading on the Future of Terror; A market system would help Pentagon predict turmoil. To critics, it's 'gambling' on security, Los Angeles Times, Jul 29, 2003.

Carl Hulse, Threats and responses: plans and criticism; Pentagon Prepares A Futures Market On Terror Attacks, New York Times, July 29, 2003.

Ken Guggenheim, Mideast 'Futures' System Set ; Pentagon Project Would Use Market to Seek Information, Washington Post, A15, July 29, 2003. Also in Deseret News, A2.

Shailagh Murray Online Exchange Chooses Turmoil As a Commodity --- In Bizarre U.S. Project, Traders To Bet on Events in Middle East; Some Democrats Oppose Plan, Wall Street Journal, C1, July 29, 2003.

Ken Guggenheim, Betting on terror ; Futures market based on world terrorism will yield insights, Pentagon argues, Grand Rapids Press, A1, July 29, 2003.

Audrey Hudson, Hill hits gambling program on terror; TIA eyes markets to predict attacks, The Washington Times, July 29, 2003.

Pentagon will cancel terror 'betting' program, Charleston Gazette, P1A, 29 July 29, 2003.

Pentagon may start market for wagers on world events ; Fans say it'll help predict turmoil; foes call it crass, The Seattle Times, A1, July 29, 2003.

Editorial: Say goodbye to this admiral, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, July 29, 2003.

US cancels plan to establish futures market to predict terrorism, Xinhua General News Service, July 29, 2003.

Richard Sisk, Gambling on terror Pentagon wants crisis Web site to take bets, Daily News, (New York), July 29, 2003.

Conor Dougherty, Pentagon taps traders to predict the future - Defense project angers Democrats, San Diego Union-Tribune, A-1, July 29, 2003.

Andrew Orlowski, Kill a Middle East head of state, win prizes! – Pentagon shows how, The Register, 08:46 GMT, July 29, 2003.

Mark Tran, Pentagon scraps terror betting plans, Guardian, 5:30pm, July 29, 2003.

Roland Watson, US realises $8m terrorism gamble is not a good bet, The Times (London), 13, July 30, 2003.

Shailagh Murray, Pentagon Retreats From Terror Futures In Face of Criticism, Wall Street Journal, C1, July 30, 2003.

Pentagon scraps terror futures market - Plan drew criticism from Democrats, Daily Star (Beirut, Lebanon), July 30, 2003.

Richard Thomson and Steve Hawkes, Pentagon forced to pull the plug on 'terror futures', The Evening Standard (London), 31, July 30, 2003.

Peter Spiegel, Pentagon ditches 'terror futures market', Financial Times, 7, July 30, 2003, appeared on FT.Com on 29 July 2003.

William Lowther, Fury at plan for betting on terror attacks, Daily Mail London, p.8, July 30, 2003.

David Rennie, Pentagon scraps plan for betting on terror strikes, Daily Telegraph, (London), Page 12, July 30, 2003.

Carl Hulse, Threats and responses: plans and criticism; Swiftly, Plan for Terrorism Futures Market Slips Into Dustbin of Idea Without a Future, New York Times, July 30, 2003.

Poindexter's Follies, New York Times, 16, Editorial Desk, July 30, 2003.

Bush's Dr. Strangelove, Editorial, The Capital Times and Wisconsin State Journal, 10A, July 30, 2003.

Peter G. Gosselin, The Nation; Plan for Terrorism Futures Market Killed; The proposal by onetime Reagan aide John Poindexter drew widespread outrage, Los Angeles Times, Jul 30, 2003. Also same day in Grand Rapids Press, A5.

Tom Bowman, Pentagon Halts Proposal to Let Investors Bet on Likelihood of Terror Attacks, The Baltimore Sun, (Maryland), July 30, 2003.

Tom Walker, Futures Markets Help Run Economy, Atlanta Journal and Constitution, July 30, 2003.

Tom Bowman, Terror futures market canceled; Pentagon halts proposal to let investors bet on likelihood of attacks, The Baltimore Sun, July 30, 2003.

Poindexter's policy racket, The Boston Globe, July 30, 2003.

Harebrained Defense mission aborted in the nick of time, Chicago Sun-Times, 47, July 30, 2003.

Who dreamed up this plan?, The Herald, (Rock Hill, S.C.), July 30, 2003.

Deborah Zabarenko, Pentagon scrubs Internet futures market on Mideast terrorism Volley of criticism, National Post's Financial Post & FP Investing, (Canada), July 30, 2003.

Craig Gordon, All Bets Off; Amid furor, Pentagon halts terror market plan, Newsday, (New York), July 30, 2003.

Ellis Henican, Wagers on Terror? Dumb, Newsday, (New York), July 30, 2003.

Andrew Buncombe, Pentagon drops betting market on terror attacks, The New Zealand Herald, July 30, 2003.

Nikki Kallio, Investment program could have encouraged terrorism; Luckily, our nation's lawmakers scrapped the plan for a futures market in the Mideast's instability, Portland Press Herald, (Maine), July 30, 2003.

Ann Mcfeatters, Terror futures market no future; Pentagon cancels controversial program betting on next attacks, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, A9, (Pennsylvania), July 30, 2003.

Ruth Rosen, Gambling on terror, The San Francisco Chronicle, July 30, 2003.

A market for terror; Poindexter should be fired over Pentagon's outrageous scheme, Sarasota Herald-Tribune, (Florida), July 30, 2003.

What is policy analysis market?, St. Louis Post-Dispatch, (Missouri), July 30, 2003.

Playing the terror market, Times-Picayune, (New Orleans, LA), July 30, 2003.

Terrorism guessing games, St. Petersburg Times, July 30, 2003.

Terrorism Bets: Stupid pentagon plan makes its way to the trash, Detroit Free Press, July 30, 2003.

Mike Blahnik, Pentagon drops plan for terror futures; Theory has its fans, but many are cringing , Minneapolis Star Tribune, 1A, July 30, 2003.

Terrorism program killed amid uproar, Marin Independent Journal, (Marin, CA), July 30, 2003.

George Edmonson, Amid political outrage, Pentagon drops terrorism futures market, Austin American-Statesman, (Texas), July 30, 2003. Also in Atlanta Journal - Constitution, A1.

Emilie Faxon, Tom Miller, Letters to the Editor, The San Francisco Chronicle, July 30, 2003.

Carl Hulse, Swiftly, Plan for Terrorism Futures Market Slips Into Dustbin of Idea Without a Future, The New York Times, July 30, 2003.

Niles Lathem, Pentagon De-Lists Its `Tereror Market', New York Post, 5, July 30, 2003.

Ken Guggenheim, Pentagon drops terror futures market plan, The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, 2A, July 30, 2003. Also as No bets placed on Pentagon threat-bet site, Tulsa World, A5.

Julian Borger, All bets are off on terror, rules Pentagon, The Guardian London, Foreign p.10, July 30, 2003.

Tom Detzel, Pentagon Kills Plan for Terror Futures Market, The Oregonian (Portland), July 30, 2003.

David Sarasohn, Terror Bookie Plan One for the Books, The Oregonian (Portland), C7, Editorial, July 30, 2003.

Dale Eisman, Terror Futures Trading Plan Halted; Lawmakers Outraged by Pentagon's Plan to Bet on Attacks, The Virginian-Pilot & The Ledger-Star, A1, July 30, 2003.

Bradley Graham and Vernon Loeb, Pentagon Drops Bid For Futures Market; Investors Could Bet on Terrorism, Coups, The Washington Post, A17, July 30, 2003.

Any Bets on Poindexter's Future?, Roanoke Times and World News, A14, Editorial, July 30, 2003.

Tired Thinking Kills Bold Wager Plan, Dayton Daily News, A6, Editorial, July 30, 2003.

Another weird idea from Adm. Poindexter, Seattle Times, B6, Opinion, July 30, 2003.

All market bets are off with nation's security, The Republican, A12, Opinion, July 30, 2003.

At Pentagon, all Bets Off; 'Egregious Error of Judgment,' J. Warner Says of Proposal, Richmond Times-Dispatch A1, News, July 30, 2003.

Betting On Terror; Crazy scheme should spell end of bizarre defense agency, Houston Chronicle, Editorial, A26, July 30, 2003.

Pentagon battiness, Arizona Daily Star, B6, Editorial, July 30, 2003.

The Pentagon's unsafe bet, The Star-Ledger, 14, Editorial, July 30, 2003.

Other futures market ideas, Journal Gazette, 8A, Editorial, July 30, 2003.

Lawrence M. O'Rourke, Pentagon market in terror crashes, News & Observer, A1, July 30, 2003.

Pentagon bets are off, News & Observer, A18, Editorial, July 30, 2003.

Betting On Terror, The Oregonian, Editorial, C6, July 30, 2003.

Peter Kammerer, Controversy returns to haunt architect of terror futures plan, South China Morning Post, 10, July 31, 2003.

Terror futures market plan scrapped, The Hindu, July 31, 2003/

The Economy: Poindexter Is to Leave Pentagon In Wake of Terror-Futures Plan, Wall Street Journal, A2, July 31, 2003.

Hal Varian, A Good Idea With Bad Press, page C2, July 31, 2003. original

Pentagon Buys Into Tragedy, Christian Science Monitor, July 31, 2003.

Dr. Strangelove caught in bizarre betting parlor, Santa Fe New Mexican, (New Mexico), July 31, 2003.

James P. Pinkerton, In Terrorism Game, Intelligence Is Big Loser, Newsday, (New York), July 31, 2003.

No betting on blood, The Herald-Sun, (Durham, N.C.), July 31, 2003.

Jerry Heaster, Pentagon `Terror Futures Market' Doomed to Fail, The Kansas City Star (Montana), July 31, 2003.

Opinion - In Our View 'Oops' at Pentagon, The Columbian, (Vancouver, WA.), July 31, 2003.

John Hall, Of Fruitcakes And Nutty Ideas, Tampa Tribune, 15, July 31, 2003. Also in Richmond Times-Dispatch, A9.

Poindexter's Insidious Hand, Los Angeles Times, July 31, 2003.

Pointy Heads, Deadly Game, Los Angeles Times, July 31, 2003.

Joseph E. Stiglitz, Terrorism: There's No Futures in It, Los Angeles Times B13, July 31, 2003.

Andrew Marlatt, Gauging success one disaster at a time, National Post, (Canada), July 31, 2003.

Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz, The Furor Over 'Terrorism Futures', Washington Post, A19, July 31, 2003.

Steve Kelman, Stifling the Civil Service, Washington Post, A19, July 31, 2003.

William Fradin, Bet on Terror? Not Now, Not Ever; To the Editor, New York Times, July 31, 2003.

Todd G. Buchholz, All Bets Are Off, New York Times, July 31, 2003.

Erin Kelly, Bet on Terror? Not Now, Not Ever; To the Editor, New York Times, July 31, 2003.

Christopher Marquis, Threats and responses: plans and criticism; The Right and Wrong Stuff of Thinking Outside a Box, New York Times, July 31, 2003. Also in International Herald Tribune, 5, August 1, 2003.

Jeff Brown, Nothing good would have come out of terrorism futures, Philadelphia Inquirer, Business, July 31, 2003.

AJC, Hedge a bad bet: Fire Poindexter, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, July 31, 2003.

George Edmonson, Poindexter's new caldron; Senators suspect admiral in terrorism wager plan, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, July 31, 2003.

Surely there's a better way, Times-Picayune, (New Orleans, LA), July 31, 2003.

A Bad Bet, Winston-Salem Journal, A12, July 31, 2003.

Betting on Security; A Second Outlandish Intelligence-Gathering Plan Casts Doubts on the Usefulness of a New Agence and the Government's Ability to Keep Us Safe, Greensboro News & Record, Editorial, A14, July 31, 2003.

Dan Dion, Madeline Ferwerda, Letters to the editor, The San Francisco Chronicle, July 31, 2003.

Bob Meale, Bet on Terror? Not Now, Not Ever, The New York Times, July 31, 2003.

Terrorism 'market' an appalling idea, Connecticut Post (Bridgeport, CT), editorial, July 31, 2003.

A Bad Bet; Pentagon Deserves Criticism for Trying to Deploy a Weapon of Mass Stupidity, Buffalo News B12, July 31, 2003.

Pentagon flutters - Back in the game, Poindexter gambles, The Guardian, 23, July 31, 2003.

Ed Truitt, Internet once a `scheme', Houston Chronicle, Viewpoints, 37, July 31, 2003.

Pentagon Drowns In Its Own `Dead Pool', The Virginian-Pilot and The Ledger-Star, B10, July 31, 2003.

Sack Poindexter The Pentagon's bet-on-terror originator goes from one rotten idea to another, Omaha World-Herald, 6b, Editorial, July 31, 2003.

Bizarre bazaar, Salt Lake Tribune, A14, July 31, 2003.

Did he say this? Place your bets, Star-News, 10A, Editorial, July 31, 2003.

Don't bet on terror, but support DARPA, Lancaster New Era (Lancaster, PA), Editorial, A6, July 31, 2003.

Betting On Catastrophe, The Ledger (Lakeland, FL), Editorial, A20, August 1, 2003.

Sean O'Driscoll, US to cancel terror betting scheme, Irish Times, 6, August 1, 2003.

David Ignatius, Back in the Safe Zone, Washington Post, A19, August 1, 2003. Also August 2 as Attack on America - Intolerance for unconventional ideas, San Diego Union-Tribune, B-8:7, Opinion, and Spiking the terrorism futures market? and the future, Daily Star (Beirut, Lebanon).

Eric Schmitt, Poindexter Will Be Quitting Over Terrorism Betting Plan, New York Times, August 1, 2003. Also in Houston Chronicle and San Diego Union-Tribune.

Clyde Haberman, Games Of Chance For Wonks, New York Times, August 1, 2003.

Thomas M. DeFrank, He Lost Bet on Future Horrors, New York Daily News, 10, August 1, 2003.

Maura Reynolds, The Nation; Poindexter Expected to Resign in Futures Market Controversy; Ex-Reagan aide leads the Pentagon unit that devised unusual plan to predict terrorist attacks, Los Angeles Times, Aug 1, 2003. Also in The Seattle Times, A5.

George Edmonson, Poindexter to quit job at Pentagon, The Atlanta Journal and Constitution, August 1, 2003. Also in Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, A8.

Corrections, New York Times, August 1, 2003.

Going long on lunacy, Palm Beach Post, (Florida), August 1, 2003.

Jim Trimble, Letters to the Editor, St. Louis Post-Dispatch, (Missouri), August 1, 2003.

Kevin Walker, This Market Analysis Points To Nutty Stuff, Tampa Tribune, (Florida), August 1, 2003.

Henry Lopez, War on Terror futures exhibit folly of Bush administration, Daily Californian (Univ. California-Berkeley), August 1, 2003.

Norbett L. Mintz, A Real Life `Dr. Strangelove', Boston Globe A18, Letter to Editor, August 1, 2003.

Jean Martin, Terror `Stock Market' Another PR Disaster, Post Standard/Herald-Journal, A11, Letter to Editor, August 1, 2003.

Pauline Jelinek, Poindexter to resign after uproar on terror betting; Program would have set up futures market based on Mideast, Chicago Sun-Times, August 1, 2003. Also as Poindexter to Go Amid Terror Market Flap, AP Online, July 31, Poindexter quitting Pentagon job; Roundly criticized for his role in planning terror futures market, Record, A10, Poindexter to resign post over terror betting flap, Charleston Gazette, P14A, Poindexter to leave Pentagon, Tulsa World, A3.

Poindexter's Pentagon days over, Investor's Business Daily, August 1, 2003.

Jim Sander, Scot Ranney, Jeff Douthwaite, Tom Camfield, and Dan Lavielle, Northwest Voices; A sampling of readers' letters, faxes and e-mails, Seattle Times, B7, August 1, 2003.

Dave Addis, Defense Needs to Explain Its Terrorism Betting Scheme, Virginian-Pilot & The Ledger-Star, B1, August 1, 2003.

Poindexter on way out for terror futures plan, Commercial Appeal, In Washington, A13, August 1, 2003.

Terror bets plan casualty, The Evening Standard (London), 41, August 1, 2003.

Stephen J. Hedges, Pentagon Says Figure at Heart of Controversial 'Terror Market' Plan to Resign, Chicago Tribune, 1, August 1, 2003.

Mark Russell, Pentagon betting parlor dead too soon, The Grand Rapids Press, A13, Editorial, August 1, 2003. Also as Afterthoughts, Deseret News, A14.

Poindexter quits after idea on terror predictions flops, The Globe and Mail, A12, August 1, 2003.

Poindexter May Leave Defense Agency, Dayton Daily News, A3, August 1, 2003.

Bet this (Observer Column), Financial Times, 18, August 1, 2003.

No tears for Poindexter, The News Tribune (South Sound), B6, Editorial, August 1, 2003.

Will Dunham, Planner of terrorism betting pool is on his way out, The Star-Ledger, 11, August 1, 2003. Also as Poindexter bails out of Pentagon amid controversy, Reuters News, 20:34 GMT, July 31, 2003.

David Rennie, Admiral behind terrorist futures market `to quit', Daily Telegraph, 20, August 1, 2003.

Conor O'Clery, It's deja-vu all over again about Watergate and that break-in, Irish Times, 9, August 2, 1003.

Paula Hawkins, Bad taste or merely bizarre?, The Times, (London), August 2, 2003.

Julian Borger, Poindexter forced to resign over terror bet plan, Guardian, 17, August 2, 2003.

Betting on terror, The Dominion Post (Wellington, New Zealand), Opinion, p.5, August 2, 2003.

Embarrassment futures, Times-Picayune, (New Orleans), Page 6, August 2, 2003.

Architect of Terrorist Betting Site Must Go, Albuquerque Journal (New Mexico), editorial, August 2, 2003.

The Week in Review - International, Financial Times, 10, August 2, 2003.

Mike Argento, Who's taking the bet on terror?, York Daily Record, A6, August 2, 2003.

Futures Shock - The Pentagon's Sick Take On Risk Strategy, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, A10, Editorial, August 2, 2003.

Chris Twyman, Going Hoarse Talking About This - Futures schlock, The Sydney Morning Herald, 52, August 2, 2003.

Julia Baird, The Nerds Who Want To Punt On Our Future, Sydney Morning Herald, 37, Opinion, August 2, 2003.

Ken Wiwa, Terrordaq: Put your money where your paranoia is, The Globe and Mail, A13, Column, August 2, 2003.

Jason Chow, Why markets come up with right answers, National Post (Canada), FP1, August 2, 2003.

Paul Kedrosky, Pentagon market plan was a natural, National Post (Canada), FP11, Editorial, August 2, 2003.

Pentagon bosses condemned for bets on terror and deaths, Birmingham Post, 7, August 2, 2003.

Derek McGovern, Bin Laden: Bets are off, The Mirror, Sports 8, August 2, 2003.

Reuven Brenner, A Safe Bet - Terror futures markets aren't such a bad idea, Wall Street Journal, August 3, 2003.

Joshua Glenn, Betting on trouble, The Boston Globe, August 3, 2003.

Gareth Cook, Defending DARPA - The Government's Strangest Research Might Be Its Best, The Boston Globe, Page E1, August 3, 2003.

Michael Schrage and Sam Savage, If This Is Harebrained, Bet on the Hare, Washington Post, Page B04, August 3, 2003. mirror graphic

Lou Dobbs, Old ideas hobbling new thinking, New York Daily News, August 3, 2003.

Daniel Altman, Economic View; Economics Can't Solve Everything, Can It?, New York Times, August 3, 2003.

John Kimelman, Stock Prices and the Terror Factor, New York Times, Business, 6, August 3, 2003.

Chuck Murphy, Placing bets on regime change, St. Petersburg Times, (Florida), August 3, 2003.

Betting on Mayhem, Providence Journal-Bulletin, (Rhode Island), Page D-08, August 3, 2003.

Bob Rayner, The Idiocy (and Wisdom) of a Terror-Future Market, The Richmond Times-Dispatch, D2, August 3, 2003.

Jeff Brown, Lack of intelligence true demise of terrorism futures, The Houston Chronicle, Page Business 1, August 3, 2003.

James Ahearn, Intriguing, but doomed, idea, The Record, (Bergen County, NJ), August 3, 2003.

Mark Skertic, All bets off on U.S. terrorism futures, The Toronto Star, August 3, 2003.

Steve Otto, All Bets Off On Terrorism Futures Market, Tampa Tribune, (Florida), August 3, 2003.

Daniel Ruth, The Pentagon's Very Own SPECTRE-Like Ernst Blofeld, Tampa Tribune, 2, August 3, 2003.

Amanda Harvey and James Robinson, All bets off as terror exchange is scrapped, The Express on Sunday, 3, August 3, 2003.

Linda Stasi, Pentagon Dumb? You Can Bet On It, New York Post, 11, August 3, 2003.

Dave Addis, Putting World Up For Betting Is Speculation At Its Finest, The Virginian-Pilot & The Ledger-Star, B1, August 3, 2003.

Weigh security with privacy rights carefully ; The war against terror requires changes, but a few things may be overkill., Portland Press Herald, 4C, Editorial, August 3, 2003.

David Greising, David Greising Column, Chicago Tribune, August 3, 2003.

You bet your life - Futures markets won't solve a real intelligence problem, Financial Times, 10, August 4, 2003.

Hiawatha Bray, In Defense of DARPA Programs, The Boston Globe, Page C3, August 4, 2003.

Richard Adams, Briefing The dark side of futures trading, The Guardian, (London), August 4, 2003.

Fred Tam, Boosting mart with mini contracts, Business Times, (Malaysia), 7, August 4, 2003.

Kelly Rooney, Planned terrorism future's market unthinkable, Daily Illini, (via U-Wire), August 4, 2003.

Terrorism trading odder than fiction, The Baton Rouge Advocate, 6-B;S, August 4, 2003.

Tom Teepen, Idea to track citizens luckily scrapped, Patriot-News, A06, Op-Ed, August 4, 2003.

Daryl Lease, Gambling with our security, Sarasota Herald-Tribune A9, August 4, 2003.

Jim Barnett, Wyden's Expose Signals Shift in Terror Debate, The Oregonian, A01, August 4, 2003.

Ted Bunker, Darpa, like it or not, must push envelope, Boston Herald, 27, August 4, 2003.

Georgie Annie Geyer, Any end justifies any means with D.C. wackos, Deseret News, A11, August 5, 2003.

Frank Gaffney Jr., The dot connector, The Washington Times, A14, Commentary, August 5, 2003.

Manas Chakravarty, How to profit from horrible events, Business Standard, 7, August 5, 2003.

Pentagon's 'death pool' tops list of stupid ideas; Other views The Chicago Sun-Times says ..., Hamilton Spectator, (Ontario, Canada), August 5, 2003.

Eric C. Breitenstein, There is merit in terrorism futures markets, Independent Florida Alligator, August 5, 2003.

Battle over Terrorism Futures 'Market', The Economic Times of India, August 5, 2003.

Igor Leshukov, Setting a Poor, Market-Driven Example, The St. Petersburg Times (Russia), August 5, 2003.

Acts of revision, St. Petersburg Times, 6A, Editorial, August 5, 2003.

Jack Kemp, Increasing efficiency at the Pentagon, Opinion, The San Diego Union-Tribune, B-6, August 5, 2003.

Martin Summers, Letter, The Guardian, 21, August 5, 2003.

Ilya Baranikas, Antiterrorism effort short on substance, Moscow News, (Russia), August 6, 2003.

`Terror futures' might help Series: bock, The Orange County Register, Editorials 1, August 6, 2003.

Steve Marvin Madison, Bush Team Acts Out Plot of Minority Report, The Capital Times and Wisconsin State Journal (Madison), 9A, August 6, 2003.

August in Washington ; It's not the heat, it's the absurdity from White House, Patriot-News, A8, Op-Ed, August 6, 2003.

Kenneth J. Moynihan, Pundit comes to their rescue, Worcester Telegram & Gazette, A7, Commentary, August 6, 2003.

Ryan Ziols, Defense projects are 'disturbing', (University of) Oregon Daily Emerald, August 7, 2003.

Byron L. Dorgan, U.S. Senator (D-N.D.), The Pentagon's Ill-Conceived Market, The Washington Post, August 7, 2003.

Isabel Hilton, Comment & Analysis: Masters of deceit: Convicted felons responsible for thousands of deaths are calling the shots at the White House, The Guardian (London), page 21, August 7, 2003.

Lord Henry, View from Slane Castle, Mirror, 4, August 9, 2003.

Denis Collins, Efficiency, Not Morality, Behind Terror Betting Parlor, Wisconsin State Journal, Opinion, A8, August 9, 2003.

Emily White, The way we live now: 8-10-03: questions for Bill Gross; Mister Bond, New York Times, August 10, 2003.

Eric Burroughs, Terrorist 'futures' may still be traded, Calgary Herald, (Alberta, Canada), Page B9, August 10, 2003.

Becky Oskin, Futures ordeal brushes Caltech, Pasadena Star-News, (Pasadena, CA), August 10, 2003.

Steven Weber and Philip Tetlock, New Economy; The Pentagon's plan for futures trading might have been a good test of the Internet and the markets, The New York Times, August 11, 2003.

A Matter of Trust; Poindexter was wrong man to put in charge of sensitive federal projects, The Columbus Dispatch, A8, Editorial, August 11, 2003.

David Voss, From Sputnik to ... Radar? Much-Maligned Defense Research Agency Has Long Been The Pentagon's Fantasy Shop, Boston Globe, D1, August 12, 2003.

Bradley Graham, Poindexter Resigns but Defends Programs; Anti-Terrorism, Data Scanning Efforts at Pentagon Called Victims of Ignorance, The Washington Post, A2, August 13, 2003.

Michael J. Sniffen, Poindexter Quits Pentagon Research Post, AP Online, August 13, 2003. Also as Poindexter Hopes Terror Research Survives, August 14, Poindexter Resigns From Pentagon, Defends Program, Dow Jones International News, 21:08 GMT, Condensed as: Poindexter resigns, says his terrorism research was misunderstood, Canadian Press, 20:24 GMT, Poindexter Resigns, Defends Anti-Terrorism Projects, The Richmond Times-Dispatch, A16, August 14.

Douglas Metzler, Government idiocy, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, (Pennsylvania), August 13, 2003.

Charles Piller, Column one; Army of Extreme Thinkers; The brilliant successes of DARPA, the Defense Department's advanced research agency, are matched only by its long list of bizarre failures, Los Angeles Times, August 14, 2003. Shorter version appeared as Shadowy agency mixes triumphs, disasters: DARPA encourages offbeat thinking but terrorism futures were a bust, The Gazette, (Montreal, Quebec), August 16, 2003.

Carl Hulse and Thom Shanker, Senators Want to Block Spending on Terrorist Initiatives, New York Times, August 14, 2003. Same day in Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, A14, and Houston Chronicle. Abbreviated in Tulsa World

After the demise of plans for a global-strife futures market, what will Pentagon idea man John Poindexter and his imps dream up next?, Times Union, P2, August 14, 2003.

Poindexter defends his controversial ideas, St. Petersburg Times, 5A, August 14, 2003.

Ann McFeatters, Smelly Doings in Washington, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, Page B7, August 17, 2003.

Asides, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, B6, Editorial, August 17, 2003.

Poindexter's notions can't stay in his wake, The Republican, A8, Opinion, August 18, 2003.

Risks and Rewards of Dreaming Big, Los Angeles Times, August 19, 2003

Good riddance, San Francisco Chronicle, A22, Editorial, August 21, 2003.

Rob Reuteman, Kobe to Corn, Markets Can Often Predict Future Events, Rocky Mountain News, 2C, August 23, 2003.

John Sutherland, Bush's witchfinder-general had carte blanche to snoop on Americans - but then his ambitions grew too big, The Guardian, 5, August 25, 2003.

Conor Dougherty, Charles Polk, president, Net Exchange, The San Diego Union-Tribune, August 31, 2003.

What are the odds this idea will win?, Lloyd's List, September 12, 2003.

Betting on Terror, The Hilltop Howard University, Editorial, September 23, 2003.

Ron Wyden, Byron L. Dorgan, To the Editor, New York Times, September 21, 2003.

Carl Hulse, Congress Shuts Pentagon Unit Over Privacy, New York Times, September 26, 2003.

Richard W. Beckler, A Distorted Picture of Adm. Poindexter, Washington Post, A27, Editorial, October 11, 2003.

The Whirlwind, Richmond Times Dispatch, (Virginia), Page A10, October 15, 2003.

A Controversial Christian Soldier, Los Angeles Times, October 19, 2003.

Mike Luckovich, Cartoon, Atlanta Journal Constitution, A22, July 31, 2003. Also appeared in Newsweek, 21, August 11, 2003.

George Edmonson, Mideast futures market scheduled to start in March, Atlanta Journal and Constitution, November 18, 2003.

Gary Younge, Future's bright for terror betting, Guardian, November 18, 2003.

Alex Rosemblat, Betting on predicting terror attacks, Cavalier Daily (University of Virginia), November 19, 2003.

Keith Waterhouse, Terror betting for Guys and Dolls, Daily Mail London, p.14, November 20, 2003.

Richard Gallagher, Did he just get the year wrong?, The Scientist 17(24):6(1), Editorial, December 15, 2003.

Leef Smith, Michael D. Shear and Marylou Tousignant, The 2003 Virginia News Quiz, Washington Post, Fairfax Extra, December 25, 2003.

Ideas That Mattered in 2003: 9. No future for terror market, The Atlanta Journal - Constitution, G3, December 28, 2003.

B. Herry-Priyono, Political insulation? No economy is an island, Jakarta Post, 17, December 31, 2003.

Ann Louise Bardach, John M. Poindexter, Los Angeles Times, January 4, 2004.

Peter Temple, Offbeat Derivatives, Financial Times (London), page 26, April 10, 2004.

Sam Savage, Predictive Power, San Jose Mercury News, May 30, 2004.

James Glassman, Forget the Presidential polls, check the markets, New Hampshire Union Leader, June 2, 2004.

Jeremy Adam Smith, Success in group thinking, San Francisco Chronicle, July 3, 2004. mirror

Nigel Waters, A crowdy crystal ball, The Globe and Mail (Canada), page D4, July 17, 2004.

Robert Trigaux, In this presidential poll, it pays to be ahead, St. Petersburg Times, July 21, 2004.

Jim Welte, Teen offers new brand of optimism, Marin Independent Journal, August 4, 2004.

Michael Krieger, Pioneer Politics week in review, Pioneer Press, August 29, 2004.

Kate Santich, All Bets Are On, Orlando Sentinel, April 11, 2005.

Joel Gallob, Wyden worried about federal 'data mining', Newport News Times, 11:21:52 PDT, May 11, 2005.

The nerd who saw too much, Sydney Morning Herald, July 13, 2005.

Weekly Print Media

Hendrik Hertzberg, Too Much Information, New Yorker, 45-46, Talk of the Town December 9, 2002.

James Surowiecki, Decisions, Decisions, New Yorker, Financial Page, March 24, 2003. (Posted March 17.)

A bet too far - The Pentagon's defunct market in mayhem, The Economist, August 2, 2003. (Online on July 31, 2003.)

How low can you go?, People's Weekly World 18(9):10, Editorial, August 2, 2003.

Steve Duin, Filling the vacuum with threats, not facts, The Sunday Oregonian, August 3, 2003.

Dawn Onley, Pentagon pulls the plug on PAM program, Government Computer News, (online July 29), 22(21), August 4, 2003.

Paul McNamara, DARPA deserves better, Network World, 61, Column, August 4, 2003.

Terrorism traders take huge losses in single day of trading, freepressed, August 4, 2003.

Geoff Brumfiel, Terrorist betting leaves defence agency fighting for autonomy, Nature, August 7, 2003.

In defence of DARPA, Nature, August 7, 2003.

Bob Jones, Red (face) alert, World Magazine, August 9, 2003.

Marc Brodine, War theater of the absurd, People's Weekly World 18(10):11, August 9, 2003.

Hugh Clifton, Harsh criticism stymies future of Pentagon's futures market, PR Week, (US), August 11, 2003.

Paul Holmes, Administration's Tardiness to Defend 'Futures Market' Ended Debate Before It Even Started, PR Week, (US), page 9, August 11, 2003.

Daniel Kadlec, Terrorism Futures: Good Concept, Bad P.R., Time Magazine, August 11, 2003.

Lou Dobbs, Deep-sixing a bright idea, U.S. News & World Report, August 11, 2003.

Lisa Stein, Casino Of Calamity, U.S. News & World Report, 135(4):7, August 11, 2003.

Tony Tether, In Quotes. (comments on current events), U.S. News & World Report, 135(4):6, August 11, 2003.

Steven Levy, Foolish Bet, Newsweek, 8, August 11, 2003.

Norm Pattis, Terrified Of This Gamble; Juries Should Be The Future, Connecticut Law Tribune, August 11, 2003.

Shawn McCarthy, Internaut: Terrorism futures might just have a future, Government Computer News, (online August 14) 22(23), August 18, 2003.

R. Fink, The Rat plays Poindexter Powerball, Government Computer News, 22(23) August 18, 2003.

Lois Ember, Futures folly? Maybe not, Chemical & Engineering News, 81(33):34, Commentary, August 18, 2003. Original

Dave Lenckus, Tips for finding execs, pen pals, Business Insurance, August 25, 2003.

The Terrorism Futures Market Is Immoral, The Tech 123(36), MIT, August 28, 2003.

Ken Nesmith, Andrew C. Thomas, and Jonathan Wang, Wait, Let's Talk About This, The Tech 123(36), MIT, August 28, 2003.

Andreas Frew, Washington diary, New Scientist, August 30, 2003.

Julie Johnsson, Futures shock terror trades; Web-preneur sees market for everything from J. Lo's wedding to Al Qaeda's next strike, Crain's Chicago Business, September 8, 2003.

James Poniewozik, Why We're So Obsessed with "Next", Time, 94, September 8, 2003.

Paul McNamara, Readers get another turn, Network World, 70, Column, September 8, 2003.

George Smith, Freewheeling Zealots, Village Voice (New York, NY), 40, September 16, 2003.

Matt Smith, Total Future Awareness; The Defense Department hires a New Economy futurist to help fight terror. Don't you feel safer already?, San Francisco Weekly 12(33), September 17, 2003.

More questions, no common ground, National Underwriter 107(39):34, September 29, 2003.

Rana Foroohar and Michael Hastings, An Experimental Mind and A New `Wind Tunnel' for Companies, Newsweek, October 6, 2003.

Paul Levande, Total Information Awareness and other dreams forever lost, (Boston University) College Hill Indepedent, October 23, 2003.

Paul McNamara, net buzz, Network World, 74, Column, December 1, 2003.

Lyle Lofgren, Letters, Science News, December 13, 2003.

Cass Sunstein, Mobbed Up, New Republic, July 28, 2004. (online June 17)

Alexander Zaitchik, Q&A with Mike Loew, New York Press 17(27), July 6, 2004. mirror

James M. Pethokoukis, All seeing all knowing, US News and World Report, page 56, August 30, 2004.

Guessing Games, Economist, November 18, 2004.

Dibya Sarkar, Homeland Security: 2005 priorities -- Officials and experts talk about what should come next for homeland security, Federal Computer Week, December 6, 2004.

Raymond Lehmann, Study Says Terror Reinsurance Backstop Provides Too Little Economic Protection, Best's Insurance News, June 21, 2005.

Bi-Monthly Print Media

Stumbling blocks for big brother, The New American 19(17):8, August 25, 2003.

Richard Behar, Never Heard Of Acxiom? Chances Are It's Heard Of You, Fortune 149(4):140, February 23, 2004.

Monthly Print Media

Jeremy Kahn, Place your bets - on war, Fortune 147(4), March 3, 2003. (appeared on web Feb 19, 2003).

Antony Currie, Killer futures die a death, Euromoney (London), 1, August, 2003.

Joseph McCafferty, Ticker Tales, CFO Magazine, September 1, 2003.

Ginger Szala, Don't bet on it, Futures 32(11):10, September, 2003.

Daniel P Collins, Backlash from 'terror exchange' no surprise, Futures 32(11):17, September, 2003.

David Morse, What was behind the Pentagon's betting parlor?, Peacework 30(338):22, September 2003.

Make a killing. (Seriously ... You couldn't make this stuff up) , New Internationalist 360:8(1), September, 2003.

Martin Spann and Bernd Skiera, Taking Stock of Virtual Markets, Operations Research Management Science, October 2003.

Julie Hanson, The Market of the Future, Chief Security Officer, October 2003.

Kevin Clarke, Gambling with the future, U.S. Catholic 68(10):35, October, 2003.

A road too far!, III-Vs Review 17(7):9, Discussion, October 2003. excerpt

Seth Grimes Futures Shock, Intelligent Enterprise, October 10, 2003.

Ajit Kambil, Betting on a New Market, Harvard Business Review, Trends & Ideas, October 15, 2003.

Juliette N. Kayyem, The Homeland Security Muddle, The American Prospect, 46, November 1, 2003.

Casey Khan What's Wrong with Terror-Futures Markets?, The Free Market - The Mises Institute monthly, 23(11), November 2003.

Saul Levmore and Kyle D. Logue, Insuring against terrorism - and crime, Michigan Law Review 102(2):268(60), November, 2003.

Joseph Grundfest, Crimes of Upholstery and More, Stanford Magazine, November/December 2003.

Tom Junod, Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, Esquire 140(6):182, December 2003.

Elizabeth Kountze, Terror Futures Market Bombs, Kiplinger's Personal Finance Magazine 57(12):30, December, 2003.

Dick O'Brien, Political Futures, Business Plus 64-65, January, 2004.

Michael Gorham, Event Markets Campaign for Respect, Futures Industry Magazine, January/February 2004. mirror

Seth Stevenson, Gentlemen, Start Your Robots, Fortune Small Business, 14(1):40(5), February, 2004.

Russ Ray, Prediction Markets: Betting on Risk Management, Risk Management Magazine, April 2004.

Russ Ray, Prediction markets: crystal ball for finance?, Financial Executive 20(3):24(2), May 2004.

Spencer Reiss, Poindexter Confidential, Wired, May, 2004.

David Mulcahey, The Wise Many, In These Times (Institute for Public Affairs), Books, Page 26, July 19, 2004.

Scott Berinato, The Short Life, Public Execution and (Secret) Resurrection of Total Information Awareness, Chief Security Officer, August 2004.

Geoffrey Colvin, Listen to the People Who Got the Election Right, Fortune, November 15, 2004.

Matt Nesvisky, Markets Can Predict the Future, NBER Digest, November, 2004.

David L. Passmore, Evin D. Cebeci, Rose M. Baker, Market-Based Information for Decision Support in Human Resource Development, Human Resource Development Review 4(1):33-48, March 1, 2005.

Mark Longo, The Outcome of Events: HedgeStreet and Philly Take a Lead in Strange New World, Traders Magazine, May 1, 2005.

Quarterly Print Media

John Johnson and Tequila Mockingbird, Tales From The Police State - Website will predict White House actions, Fifth Estate 38(3):10, Fall 2003.

Stephen Figlewski, Editorial, Journal of Derivatives, 11(1):1(2), Fall 2003.

Grimaldi (anonymous pseudoname), Election Follies (The Uncivil Servant), The Public Manager 32(3):55(2), Fall 2003.

Richard A. Rettig, Reorganizing The National Institutes Of Health, Health Affairs 23(1):357-262, January/February, 2004.

Steven Simon and Jonathan Stev, Thinking outside the tank, The National Interest 78:90(9), Winter, 2004.

Paul Rhode and Koleman Strumpf, Historical Presidential Betting Markets, Journal of Economic Perspectives 18(2):127-141, Spring 2004.

Heather Mac Donald, What We Don't Know Can Hurt Us, City Journal 14(2), Spring 2004.

Ryan Johnson, Terrorism Futures, Canadian Content, February 1, 2004.

William C. Spracher, Homeland Security and Intelligence: Can Oil Mix with Water in an Open Society?, Low Intensity Conflict and Law Enforcement 11(1):29-54, Spring 2004.

Joshua Tucker and Adam Meirowitz, Learning from Terrorist Markets, Perspectives on Politics 2(2):331-6, June 2004.

Russ Ray, Terrorism Futures - A Viable Tool to Predict Terrorism, Futures Research Quarterly 20(2), Summer 2004.

Emile Servan-Schreiber, Justin Wolfers, David M. Pennock, Brian Galebach, Prediction Markets: Does Money Matter?, Electronic Markets 14(3):243-251, September 2004.

Robert Looney, DARPA's Policy Analysis Market for Intelligence: Outside the Box or Off the Wall?, International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence 17(3):405-419, July–September 2004. Also in web media Strategic insight, September 2, 2003.

Peter J. Ryan, Pongsak Hoontrakul, An Economic Analysis of the Tourism Industry, Chulalongkorn Journal of Economics. May, 2004.

Bi-Annual Print Media

Mason Richey, Thoughts on the Theory and Practice of Speculative Markets qua Event Predictors, Essays in Philosophy 6(1), January 2005.

Book Chapters

Kent Smetters, Insuring Against Terrorism: The Policy Challenge, Brookings-Wharton Papers on Financial Services: 2004, ed. Robert E. Litan and Richard Herring, Brookings Institution Press, page 171, September 2004. mirror,


Joel Garreau, Radical Evolution - The Promise and Peril of Enhancing Our Minds, Our Bodies - And What It Means To Be Human, pp. 267-270, DoubleDay, New York, May 17, 2005.

Michael Moore, Dude, Where's My Country?, Warner Books, page 110, October, 2003. exerpt

Steven Kartashev, The Great Stakeout, International Supercomputing Institute, page 21, March 2004. exerpt

Amy Goodman, The Exception to the Rulers: Exposing Oily Politicians, War Profiteers, and the Media that Love Them, First edition, Hyperion, Page 115, April, 2004.

Robert Sterling, Paul Krassner, Greg Palast, Lydia Lunch, Sam Smith, Robbie Conal, Brian Paisley, Greg Palast, Lydia Lunch, Sam Smith, Robbie Conal, and Matt Taibbi, 50 Reasons Not to Vote for Bush, pages 175-176, Feral House, May 1, 2004.

Clint Willis, I Hate George W. Bush Reader: Why He's Wrong about Absolutely Everything, Thunder's Mouth Press, page 8, May 10, 2004.

Christopher Whitcomb, Black, Little, Brown and Company, page 146, June 1, 2004.

Joe Garden, Mike Loew, and Randy Ostrow, Citizen You!: Helping Your Government Help Itself, New Press, page 101, July, 2004.

Craig E. Johnson, Meeting the Ethical Challenges of Leadership : Casting Light or Shadow, 2nd edition, SAGE Publications, Page 56 (Paperback), November 10, 2004.

Lee Freeman, A Graham Peace, Information Ethics: Privacy and Intellectual Property, Idea Group Inc, page 171, November 15, 2004.

Philip Meyer, The Vanishing Newspaper: Saving Journalism in the Information Age, University of Missouri Press, page 49, November 30, 2004.

Conference Proceedings

David M Pennock A Dynamic Pari-Mutuel Market for Hedging, Wagering, and Information Aggregation, Proceedings of the 5th ACM conference on Electronic commerce, May 20, 2004.

Think Tank Reports

Steven Weber and Phillip Tetlock, Taboo Tradeoffs, Social Science Research Council, Information Technology and International Cooperation Program. mirror

Charles F. Manski, Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper 10359, March 2004. mirror

Howard Kunreuther and Erwann Michel-Kerjan, Insurability of (Mega)-Terrorism Risk: Challenges and Perspectives, Report prepared for The OECD Task Force on Terrorism Insurance, March 25, 2004. excerpt

Cass Sunstein, Group Judgements: Deliberations, Statistical Means, and Information Markets, AEI-Bookings Working Paper 04-17, September 2004. mirror

Ryan Bubb, From Uncertainty To Risk?, January 2005. excerpt

Justin Wolfers, Eric Zitzewitz, Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets, January 21, 2005. To appear in Information Markets: A New Way of Making Decisions in the Public and Private Sectors, ed. Bob Hahn and Paul Tetlock, AEI-Brookings Press.

Web Media

Daniel Tynan, Trading on the Future, Technology, June 21, 2002.

Christopher Ketcham, The mother of all gambles, Salon, March 20, 2003.

Brendan I. Koerner, What Weird Futures Can You Buy? A guide to online prediction markets. Slate, July 29, 2003.

Daniel Gross, Bookmakers for the Bomb-Makers: The Pentagon scraps its startling plan for a terrorism futures market., Slate, July 29, 2003.

Terrorism Pentagon Drops Futures Trading Scheme, Facts on File World News Digest, July 29, 2003.

John W. Schoen, Pentagon kills ‘terror futures market’: Senate urged Defense Dept. to scrap system to predict events,, July 29, 2003.

William Jackson, DARPA offers a futures market on Mideast events, Government Computer News Daily Updates, July 29, 2003.

Paul Courson and Steve Turnham, Amid furor, Pentagon kills terrorism futures market,, July 29, 2003.

Pentagon folds bets on terror, CNN Money, July 29, 2003 Tuesday.

Andy Borowitz, Poindexter to Head Dept. of Bad Ideas,, July 29, 2003.

John Paczkowski, Pssst -- go long on September truck bombings,, July 29, 2003.

Roy Mark, Pentagon Folds Hand in Online Terrorism Futures Scheme, Internet News, July 29, 2003.

Justin Lahart, No future for Poindexter? Irony of ironies -- traders can now speculate on John Poindexter's chances of keeping his job. CNN Money, 1:47 PM EDT, July 30, 2003.

Eli Lehrer, The Terror Gamble - Betting on terrorism isn’t as crazy as it sounds, National Review Online, July 30, 2003

James Surowiecki, Damn the Slam PAM Plan! Canceling the Pentagon's futures market is cowardly and dumb, Slate, 3:39 PM PT, July 30, 2003.

David Lindorff, Poindexter the Terror Bookie - Why Stop with an Assassination Market?, CounterPunch, July 30, 2003.

John Paczkowski, Poindexter's DARPA Casino,, July 30, 2003.

Betting on Terror: Don't Bet on It,, July 30, 2003.

Eric Zitzewitz, Value in Terrorism Futures?,, July 31, 2003.

Steve Kelman, Devastation of a Terrorism Futures Market?,, July 31, 2003.

Barry Grey, Pentagon scheme for a futures market in terror, World Socialist Web Site, 31 July 2003.

John Paczkowski, Poindexter's DARPA Casino, redux,, July 31, 2003.

Barry Grey, Pentagon scheme for a futures market in terror, World Socialist Web Site, 31 July 2003.

Scott Wallsten, Congress Shorts Future Terror-Fighting Innovation. AEI-Brookings Policy Matters 03-22. July, 2003.

James M. Pethokoukis, More Markets for Mayhem, U.S. News & World Report, Web Exclusive, August 1, 2003.

Tim Hanrahan and Jason Fry, 'Terror Futures' Top List Of Bad Ideas, Wall Street Journal Online, 15:01 GMT, August 4, 2003.

Leander Kahney, Bush Impeached? Wanna Bet?, Wired News, August 4, 2003.

George Smith, Betting on Malware, Security Focus, Column, 02:00AM PT, August 4, 2003.

Jed Babbin, Betting on the RSGs, American Prowler, 12:06:00 AM August 5, 2003.

Robert G. Williscroft, A Futures Market for Terror, Defense Watch, August 5, 2003.

William Jackson, Good theory behind DARPA’s ‘terrorism futures’, Government Computer News Daily Updates, August 6, 2003.

Jennifer Barrett, Place Your Bets, Newsweek Web, August 7, 2003.

Daniel Gross, The Disaster Market - Can Wall Street figure out the cause of a space shuttle crash faster than NASA's experts?, Slate, Aug. 8, 2003.

Steven M. Cherry, Toward A Bettor Future, IEEE Spectrum on-line, August 8, 2003.

Dawn Onley, In his resignation, Poindexter defends projects, Government Computer News Daily Updates, August 13, 2003.

Len Ellis, The Dawn of Information Markets, Part 2, ClickZ Today, August 27, 2003.

Andrew Gellatly, Betting on terror: Learning from markets, ATE Online Global News, August 2003.

Michael J. Sniffen, Agency Behind Terrorism Futures Profiled, Associated Press Online, September 1, 2003.

William Jackson, Terrorism futures market gets second lease on life, Government Computer News Daily Updates, November 17, 2003.

Mark Gongloff, Middle East futures market returns, CNN/Money, 5:15 PM EST November 18, 2003,.

Ajit Kambil, You Can Bet on Idea Markets, HBSWK, December 1, 2003.

Donald Luskin, Bush or Kerry? You Bet!,, January 30, 2004.

Noah Shachtman, Pentagon kills LifeLog project, Wired News, February 4, 2004.

Farhad Manjoo, Smart mobs beat dumb CEOs, Salon, June 2, 2004.

Jan Arild Snoen, Sell Bin Laden, Buy Bush!, Tech Central Station, June 3, 2004.

B.K. Marcus, Can Markets Predict Elections?,, August 4, 2004.

Lawrence G. Walters, National Gambling Outlook, Gambling Law Update, page 9-12, September 2003.

James M. Pethokoukis, Bad Bets on Iowa, U.S. News & World Report, Web Exclusive, January 20, 2004.

Pejman Yousefzadeh, The Futures and Their Enemies, Tech Central Station, May 14, 2004.

David Weidner, Bush gets a lift in the markets, But Friday's unemployment report could deflate bump,, 7:47 PM ET Aug. 31, 2004.

By Mike Brunker Bullish on Bush? Accumulating Kerry? ‘Political futures’ markets take stock of presidential race MSNBC 8:30 a.m. ET, Sept. 10, 2004.

James Dunnigan, The Prediction Machine that Could, StrategyPage, September 17, 2004. original

Dave Richards, Breaking the Silence; Andy Diggle Talks Silent Dragon, The Losers and Adam Strange, Comic Book Resources, February 18, 2005.

Jeremy Grant, Exchange takes bet on future events, Financial Times .com, March 17, 2005.

Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner, And as they round the first turn, it is Bernanke out front, with Feldstein and Hubbard trailing by two lengths, Freakonomics, June 22, 2005.

Leuren Morat, The Kiss of Death: Nuclear Weapons Stealth Takeover 5 Admirals, U.C. Regents, Carlyle Group and Rand, Global Research, August 7, 2005.

Links at