Lisa Sylvester (interviewer), Pentagon Scraps Terror Futures Trading Market, CNNFN Street Sweep, 3:00pm ET, July 29, 2003. mirror
Gregg Jarrett (interviewer), Future Horrors - A cancelled Pentagon plan would have allowed betting on future terrorist attacks, Fox News The Big Story, 5:33pm ET, July 29, 2003. mirror
Kathy Fountain (interviewer), Betting on Terrorism?, Your Turn, Fox13 News, Tampa Bay, 12:25pm ET, September 23, 2003.
Andrea Koppel (interviewer), Betting on the Future, Next@CNN, CNN, 5:25pm ET, October 5, 2003. mirror
Liam Halligan (interviewer), Predictive Markets, (United Kingdom) Channel 4 News, April 13, 2004.
Lindsey Arent (interviewer), Political Betting, KFOX-TV El Paso, WJAC-TV Johnstown (customers of COX Broadcasting), evening, September 2, 2004. Also aired sometime that weekend (Sept. 3-6) on KIRO-TV Seattle, KTVU-TV San Francisco, and WTOV-TV Stuebenville.
Blaquita Cullum (interviewer), Radio America News Beat, 12:00pm ET, August 1, 2003.
Lyse Doucet (interviewer), Betting on Terror, The Connection (from WBUR Boston and NPR), August 4, 2003. (review) mirror
Diana Swain (interviewer), Futures Economist, The Current, CBC Radio, August 12. 2003. mirror
Douglas Heingartner (interviewer), Wired/CBS News, August 26, 2003.
Carolyn Said, Pentagon to start futures market for terror attacks - WAGERING: Concept is based on a legitimate theory, San Francisco Chronicle, July 29, 2003. mirror
Conor Dougherty, Pentagon dumps futures market on global terror, San Diego Union, July 30, 2003. mirror
Michael Remez, Terror Bets Are Off - Pentagon Drops Plan For Futures Market, Hartford Courant, July 30, 2003. mirror
Dan Gillmor, Terrorism `market' has certain allure, San Jose Mercury News, 1C, July 30, 2003. mirror
Steven Pearlstein, Misplacing Trust in the Markets, Washington Post, Page E01, July 30, 2003. mirror
Zachary Coile, Proposal to trade in world events junked - Boxer wants ouster of officials behind futures-market plan, San Francisco Chronicle, July 30, 2003. mirror
Bradley Graham, Poindexter to Leave Pentagon Research Job: Project to Create Futures Market on Events in Middle East Caused Controversy, Washington Post, Page A01, August 1, 2003. Also same day in Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, 1A. mirror
Floyd Norris, Ideas & Trends; Betting on Terror: What Markets Can Reveal, New York Times Late Edition - Final , Section 4 , Page 5 , Column 1, August 3, 2003. mirror
Ignorance Is Bliss, The Richmond Times-Dispatch (Virginia) A-8, August 4, 2003. mirror
Ravi Visvesvaraya Prasad, Terror Futures: A Badla on the Lashkar e Taiba, Indian Express, August 9, 2003. mirror
Tim Harford, Information Markets: All bets are off at the Pentagon, Financial Times, London, page 8 (ad on page 1), September 2, 2003. mirror
David Ballingrud, Wanna Bet? It was one of the worst ideas the Pentagon ever had. And it might have worked., St. Petersburg Times, page 1.D, Florida, September 14, 2003. mirror
Ronald Bailey, Betting on Terrorists, Irish Independent, Pages 12-15, September 27, 2003. mirror 1 2 3
Peter Wayner, Predict the Future? You Can Bet on It, New York Times, Page E9, October 2, 2003. mirror
Anders Sandberg, On Idea Futures - Making Politicians Put Their Money Where Their Mouth Is, Svenska Dagbladet, October 7, 2003.
Yoko Noge, ?, Nikkei Financial Daily, page 7, November 4, 2003.
Tony Batt, Interest in wagering on events perseveres, Las Vegas Review Journal, Business Section, December 23, 2003. mirror
Liam Halligan and Philip Carter, A market in mayhem, London Telegraph, April 18, 2004. mirror
J. Scott Orr, They're betting their futures on politics - Online traders hope to cash in by predicting the outcome of elections, Newark Star Ledger, June 01, 2004.
Spencer Jakab, New ICAP-Nymex Derivatives Have U.S. Gas Market's Number. Wall Street Journal Eastern edition, page 1, Aug 4, 2004. Also appeared as Dow Jones Newswires, 1528ET, July 30, 2004.
Enda D. Layuk Allo, Prediction markets facilitate better decision and policy making, Jakarta Post, June 6, 2005.
Joe Nocera, The Future Divined by the Crowd, New York Times, B1, March 11, 2006.
Paul Parsons, Predicting the future - with the power of betting, Telegraph, August 18, 2008.
Richard Siklos, Poindexter was thinking out of the box - Pandora's box, Sunday Telegraph (London), Page 6, August 3, 2003. mirror
Bill Forman, Wagers of sin - Team Bush�€™s terrorism-futures scam takes market fundamentalism to apocalyptic extremes, Sacremento News & Review, August 7, 2003. mirror
Charles Seife, `Terrorism Futures' Could Have a Future, Experts Say, Science 301:749, August 8, 2003. mirror
Dan Caterinicchia, DOD's misguided bet on the future, Federal Computer Week, August 11, 2003 mirror (web version appeared August 1, 2003).
Rana Foroohar, Reading the Tea Leaves - A far-out idea, killed by the Pentagon, might have worked, Newsweek International, August 11, 2003. mirror
David Glenn, Verbatim: Defending the 'Terrorism Futures' Market, The Chronicle of Higher Education 49(49):A16, August 15, 2003. mirror
Peter Coy, Betting on Terror: PR Disaster, Intriguing Idea, Business Week, page 41, August 25, 2003.(Web version in BusinessWeek online, August 8, 2003). mirror
Erica Klarreich, Best Guess: Economists explore betting markets as prediction tools, Science News 164(16), October 18, 2003. mirror
Noam Scheiber, Futures Markets in Everything, Year in Ideas, New York Times Magazine, page 68, December 14, 2003. mirror
Barbara Kiviat, The End Of Management? and Looking Ahead, Time, Inside Business, A4, July 12, 2004. (online July 6.) mirror and mirror
Alan Joch, Is there a future for futures trading? Despite the DARPA debacle, experts say the idea has merit, Federal Computer Week, Aug. 30, 2004. mirror
Maria Kielmas, Geopolitical Futures: The politics of betting, Energy & Power Risk Management 8(7), October 2003. mirror
Betting on our future, Nature Immunology 4(11):1039, November 2003. mirror
Rachael Horsewood, A Farewell to Arms: What the DARPA Funded Market in Geopolitical Risk Futures Would Have Looked Like, Financial Engineering News 34, November/December 2003. mirror
Tom Malone, Bringing The Market Inside, Harvard Business Review, pp. 106-114, April 2004. mirror
Harvey D. Shapiro, We Have Seen The Futures, Hemispheres, pages 57-59, May 2004. mirror
Michael Abramowicz, Information Markets, Administrative Decisionmaking, and Predictive Cost-Benefit Analysis. The University of Chicago Law Review, July 1, 2004. excerpt mirror
Navroz Patel, Deciding on a Future, Risk, February 1, 2006.
Martin Griffiths, Physicists who fancy a flutter, Physics World, December 2006.
Mark Henricks, Using an Online Trading Market to Predict Success, Entrepreneur Magazine 17-18, February, 2007.
Steven Cherry, Bet on it!, IEEE Spectrum, 48-53, September 2007.
Gary Stix, When Markets Beat The Polls, Scientific American, March 2008.
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz, Prediction Markets, Journal of Economic Perspectives 18(2):107-126, Spring 2004.
Vanessa Sumo, Ask the Market, Richmond Federal Reserve Region Focus, pp. 20-23. Spring 2007.
Nicholas Desai, The Virginia School, Doublethink, Winter 2008.
Meghan Holloway, Profiting From Terrorism: Futures Markets and World Events, Brown Political Review, December 9, 2014.
James Surowiecki, The Wisdom of Crowds: Why the Many Are Smarter Than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies, Societies and Nations, pages 75-83, Doubleday, May 25, 2004.
James Hughes, Citizen Cyborg: Why Democratic Societies Must Respond to the Redesigned Human of the Future, p.169-170, Westview Press, November 2004.
David Lyon, Theorizing Surveillance: The Panopticon And Beyond, Willan Pub, pp. 152-154, August 30, 2006.
Cass Sunstein, Infotopia - How Many Minds Produce Knowledge, pages 104-108, Oxford University Press, September 2006.
Len Ellis, Marketing in the In-Between: A Post-Modern Turn on Madison Avenue, pp. 101-105, BookSurge Publishing, January 11, 2007.
Bryan Caplan, The Myth of the Rational Voter: Why Democracies Choose Bad Policies, pp. 190-192, Princeton University Press, April 2007.
Michael Abramowicz, Predictocracy: Market Mechanisms for Public and Private Decision-Making, Yale University Press, New Haven, January 28, 2008.
Jeff Howe, Crowdsourcing, Why the Power of the Crowd is Driving the Future of Business, Crown Business, August 26, 2008.
Noah Shachtman, The Case for Terrorism Futures, Wired News, 2:00am PT, July 30, 2003. mirror
Dan Gillmor, Terror 'Market' Not Totally Idiotic, SiliconValley.Com, 08:30AM, July 30, 2003. mirror
Steven Pearlstein, The Pentagon's Terrorism Futures Market, Washington Post, Live Online, Wednesday, July 30, 2003; 11:00am ET. mirror
Cynthia L. Webb, FutureMAP Has No Future, Washingtonpost.com, July 30, 2003. mirror
Celeste Biever and Damian Carrington, Pentagon cancels futures market on terror NewScientist.com, 1:17pm, July 30, 2003. mirror
Ronald Bailey, Betting On Terror - Why futures markets in terror and assassinations are a good idea, ReasonOnline, July 30, 2003. mirror
Jeremy Kahn, Is a Futures Market on Terror Outlandish? Maybe not. Fortune (online only), Wednesday, July 30, 2003. mirror
James Pethokoukis, Futures Shock, Tech Central Station, July 30, 2003. mirror
James Pethokoukis, Chief economist at Starfleet Command - The Big Ideas of Robin Hanson, US News and World Report (Web Exclusive) Next News, July 30, 2003. mirror
Dan Farber, Business intelligence worth betting on, ZDNet Tech Update, July 31, 2003. mirror
Steven Pearlstein, A plan to predict terror ABS-CBN Today, Friday, August 1, 2003 11:19:0 p.m. mirror
David Warsh, Tell It Slant, economicprincipals.com, August 3, 2003. mirror
Pentagon Scraps Information Market, The Lighthouse 5(31), August 4, 2003. mirror
Jackson Murphy, At Casino America: the house must win, Enter Stage Right, August 4, 2003.
Andrew Orlowski, Meet the 'transhumanists' behind the Pentagon terror casino, The Register, 11:01 GMT, August 5, 2003. mirror (also `I Married An Extropian' - reader, September 9, 2003. mirror )
Len Ellis, The Dawn of Information Markets, Part 1, The Global Agency, ClickZ Today, August 13, 2003. mirror
George Dvorsky, Progressive Ideas in Government? Don't Bet on It, BetterHumans, 10:12 AM, September 1, 2003.
Alex Tabarrok, In defense of prediction markets, Red Herring, September 23, 2003. mirror
Sam Dinkin, Suborbital graduation day, Space Review, October 11, 2004. mirror
Will Wilkinson, The Anti-Market Protocols of the Councillor of Zion, Tech Central Station, October 27, 2004. mirror
Sam Dinkin. Information aggregation markets and space development, Space Review (weekly), June 13, 2005. mirror
Peter Boettke and Alexander Tabarrok, The Secret of George Mason, Slate, 4:24 PM ET, March 28, 2006. mirror
Declan McCullagh, Tech lessons learned from the wisdom of crowds, CNET News.com, 14:12:35 PST, December 14, 2006. mirror Alexander Hart, Hedging Your Bets on Current Event, ABC News, April 2, 2008. mirror
Elizabeth Dickinson, Future Perfect, Foreign Policy Web exclusive, posted October 2008.
R.J. Lehmann, Congress should help, not hinder, private terror insurance markets, R Street, April 17, 2014.
Links at http://hanson.gmu.edu/myPAMpress.html