ECONOMICS 581–Economic Growth: Theory, History, and Policy

Course:             ECON 581-073 (W, 7:30-10:20, Econ/Finance Grant Seminar Room)

Term:               Fall 2004

Instructor:         Professor Garett Jones

Office hours:     Alumni Hall 3132, MW 4-6, M 7:15-8, and gladly by appt.                       

Phone:              (618) 650-2982

Email:               garjone@siue.edu                                             

Website:           http://www.siue.edu/~garjone/econ581.html

 

Course Description

Economists look at economic growth in a number of different ways:  They write down dynamic models that can  explain real-world facts, they study anecdotes and patterns throughout world history, and they try to explain why politicians in many countries are unable or unwilling to implement growth-promoting policies.  In the course of this semester, we will use a wide set of tools from the economist’s toolbox to gain an understanding of why some nations are rich and others are poor. 

 

Prerequisites

I will assume that all students in this course are comfortable with basic statistics, including multiple regression, at a level similar to MS 251.  I also assume that you have completed a principles of economics course and have taken EITHER intermediate macroeconomics OR intermediate microeconomics, similar to Econ 302 or Econ 301, respectively.  I also assume familiarity with differential calculus.  If you have concerns about these prerequisites, please feel free to discuss your concerns with me. 

 

Required Texts

David Weil, Economic Growth, Addison-Wesley, 2005.

William Easterly, The Elusive Quest for Growth: Economists’ Adventures and Misadventures in the Tropics, MIT Press, 2001. (available in paperback)

 

The Weil book will form the foundation of the course; you must read ALL appendices of Weil’s text.  The Easterly book is designed to flesh out Jones’s textbook approach with real-world tales of failed 20th-century economic development programs. 

 

Course Readings

Most other course readings are available SIUE’s online journal databases, http://www.library.siue.edu/lib/info/periodb.html.  You can find individual journal titles via SIUE’s TDNet journal management system. 

 

Course Presentations

20% of your grade will be based on a roughly 20-minute presentation that you will give to the class during the last few weeks of the semester.  You will discuss one factor that you believe IS important for raising long-run living standards, and one factor that you believe IS NOT important (though widely believed to be important).  This will give you a chance to address widely-held misconceptions about why countries have different living standards.  You will also hand in and be graded on a paper on the same subjects.  Details will be provided later in the semester. 

 

Course Outline and Reading Assignments

Week 1:  The Facts of Growth and the Mathematical Tools of Growth

Weil, Chapter 1 and 2.  

Sala-i-Martin, “I just ran two million regressions,” American Economic Review, May 1997.  Available via

JSTOR (and handout).

 

Week 2:  The Solow Model

            Weil, Chapter 3 (including Appendix).

            Easterly, Prologue and Chapter 1.

 

Week 3:  Before Solow mattered: The Malthus model.

            Weil, Chapter 4. 

            Amartya Sen, “Population: Delusion and Reality,” available at:

http://www.uwmc.uwc.edu/geography/malthus/sen_NYR.htm

            Burkhard Bilger, “The Height Gap,” available at:

                        http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/?040405fa_fact

            Easterly, Chapters 2-3.

 

Week 4:  Human Capital and Growth

            Weil, Chapter 6.

Mankiw, Romer and Weil, “A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth,” Quarterly Journal of

Economics, 107 (May): 407-437.  Available through JSTOR.

            Jones and Schnieder, “Intelligence, Human Capital and Economic Growth,” available at:

                        www.siue.edu/~garjone/JonesSchneApr.pdf

Easterly, Chapters 3-4

           

Week 5: Technology and Productivity

            Weil, Chapters 7 and 8.

Brynjolfsson and Hitt, “Beyond Computation: Information Technology, Organizational

Transformation and Business Performance,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2000, pages 23-48.  Available through PROQUEST.

            Fernald, “Information technology and the U.S. productivity acceleration,” Federal Reserve Bank of

Chicago Chicago Fed Letter, September 2003, available at:

            http://www.chicagofed.org/publications/fedletter/2003/cflsept2003_193.pdf

            Easterly, Chapter 5

 

Week 6:  New Growth Theory: Modeling the change in technology

            Weil, chapter 9. 

            Easterly, Chapter 6.

Adam Smith, “Wealth of Nations,” Introduction and Chapters 1-3, available online at: 

                        http://etext.library.adelaide.edu.au/s/s64w/

Lucas, “The Industrial Revolution: Past and Future,” available at:

                        http://woodrow.mpls.frb.fed.us/pubs/region/04-05/essay.cfm

 

Week 7: Midterm Examination

 

Week 8:  Efficiency: Why aren’t all countries on the technological frontier?

Weil, Chapter 10

            Easterly, Chapter 7.

            Wirtz, “Mining for Missing Links” available at:

http://woodrow.mpls.frb.fed.us/pubs/region/03-09/wirtz.cfm

            Hubbard, “Information, Decisions, and Productivity: On-Board Computers and Capacity Utilization in

Trucking,” American Economic Review, September 2003. Available at:

http://gsbwww.uchicago.edu/fac/thomas.hubbard/research/papers/aerpdf.pdf

                                                           

Week 9:  Government and Trade

            Weil, Chapter 11-12.

Olson, “Big Bills Left on the Sidewalk: Why Some Nations are Rich, and Others Poor,”

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 10, No. 2. (Spring, 1996), pp. 3-24.  Available via JSTOR.

Easterly, Chapter 8-9

           

Week 10: Economic Inequality and Development. 

            Weil, Chapter 13

Secor, “Mind the gap the debate over global inequality heats up,” available at:

http://www.cid.harvard.edu/cidinthenews/articles/Globe_010503.html

Lant Pritchett, “Divergence, Big Time,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 1997.

Available via JSTOR

            Sala-i-Martin, “The Disturbing "Rise" of Global Income Inequality,” available at:

                        http://www.fordham.edu/economics/basu/trial_web/sala1.pdf

            Easterly, Chapter 10

 

Week 11: Culture and/or Institutions

            Weil, Chapter 14

Francis Fukuyama, “Culture and Economic Development,” available at:

            http://www.sais-jhu.edu/fukuyama/articles/Culture_development.pdf

Gregory Clark, “Why Isn’t the Whole World Developed? Lessons from the Cotton Mills,” Journal of

Economic History, March 1987, pages 141-173.  Available through JSTOR.

            Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson, “The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development:  An Empirical

Investigation.”  Available at:

http://econ-www.mit.edu/faculty/download_pdf.php?id=144

Easterly, Chapter 11.

 

Week 12:  India and Africa

            Weil, Chapter 15

            The Economist, Survey: India, 2001.  (handout)

            Brad DeLong, “India Since Independence: An Analytic Growth Narrative,” online at:

http://www.j-bradford-delong.net/Econ_Articles/India/India_Rodrik_draft1.html

            Paul Collier and Jan Willem Gunnning, “Why Has Africa Grown Slowly?” Journal of Economic

Perspectives, Summer 1999, pages 3-22.  Available via JSTOR.

            Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson, “An African Success Story: Botswana,” available at:

                        http://econ-www.mit.edu/faculty/download_pdf.php?id=610

            Easterly, Chapter 12

 

Week 13:  What are the world’s biggest problems?

            Weil, Chapter 16

            Copenhagen Consensus, http://www.copenhagenconsensus.com and

            http://www.copenhagenconsensus.com/Files/Filer/CC/Press/UK/copenhagen_consensus_result_FINAL.pdf

            Easterly, Chapter 13

 

Week 14:

            Easterly, Chapter 14.

            Student Presentations

 

Week 15: Is Y/L really the right number to study? 

            Student Presentations

            Amartya Sen, Development as Freedom, Preface, Introduction, and Chapters 1 and 2.  (Handout)

             

Grading Procedures

In addition to the presentation, you will have four homework assignments, one midterm, and a (mostly) comprehensive final.  The class participation grade will be based on your attendance and your informed contribution to class discussion.  Completing each week’s reading assignment before that week’s lecture will help ensure a good class participation grade. 

            Class Participation                                                         5%

            Midterm                                                                        20%

            Presentation                                                                  20%

            Homework                                                                    20%

            Final Exam                                                                    35%