"...the context of discovery is very different from the context of explanation or explication. But you don't discover things the way you write them down. Thre are subterran processes which occur, and only at a certain point suddenly do things begin to gel and you know where you're going."
Jule Charney
George Mason University
Publications
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2024
- Woolnough S.J., F. Vitart, A. W. Robertson, C.A.S. Coelho, R. Lee, A. Kumar, C.Stan, M. Balmaseda, N. Caltabiano, M. Yamaguchi, H. Afargan-Gerstman, V. L. Boult, F. M. De Andrade, D. Bueler, A, Carreric, D.A. Campos Diaz, J. Day, J. Dorrington, M. Feldmann, J. C. Furtado, C. M. Grams, R. Koster, L. Hirons, V. S. Indasi, P. Jadhav, Y. Liu, P. Nyng'uro, C. D. Roberts, and J. Ryu, 2024: Celebrating 10 years of the Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project and looking to the future. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0323.1 2023
- Stan, C. and R.S.S. Mantripragada, 2023: A deep learning filter for the intraseasonal variability of the tropics. Artificial Inteligence for the Earth Systems. doi:10.1175/AIES-D-22-0079.1
- Bai, H., B. Li, A. Mehra, J. Meixner, S. Moorthi, S. Ray, L. Stefanova, J. Wang, J. Wang, D. Worthen, F. Yang, and C. Stan, 2023: The impact of tropical SST bias on the S2S precipitation forecast skill over the Contiguous United States in the UFS global coupled model. Weather and Forecasting, 6, 937-952. doi:10.1175/WAF-D-22-0162.1
- Stan, C., V. Krishnamurthy, H. Bai, B. Li. A. Mehra, J. Meixner, S. Moorthi, L. Stefanova, J. Wang, J. Wang, D. Worthen, and F. Yang, 2023: The impact of tropical Pacific SST biases on the S2S forecast skill over the North America in the UFS global coupled model. Journal of Climate. 36, 2439-2456. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0196.1 2022
- Manthos, Z. H., K. V. Pegion, P. A. Dirmeyer, and C. Stan, 2022: the relationship between surface weather over North America and the Mid-latitude Seasonal Oscillation. Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans, 99. 101314, doi:10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2022.101314
- Stan, C., C. Zheng, E. K.-M. Chang, D. I. V. Domeisen, C. Garfienkel, A. M. Jenney, H. Kim, Y.-K. Lim, H. Lin, A. Robertson, C. Schwartz, F. Vitart, J. Wang, P. Yadav, 2022: Advances in the prediction of MJO-Teleconnections in the S2S forecast systems. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, E11427-E1447. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0130.1
- Stan, C., 2022: The forecast skill of the Northrn Hemisphere Middle Latitudes Seasonal Oscillation and its impact on the surface air temperature. Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2021GL095543. doi:10.1029/2021GL095543
- Krishnamurthy, V. and C. Stan, 2022: Prediction of extreme events in precipitation and temperature over CONUS during the boreal summer in the UFS coupled model. Climate Dynamics, 59, 109-125. doi:10.1007/s00382-021-06120-0
- Li, X., Z. Z. Hu, B. Huang, and C. Stan, 2022: Bulk connectivity of global SST and land precipitation variations. Climate Dynamics, 58, 195-209. doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05901-x 2021
- Merryfield, W. J. and Co-authors, 2021: Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction: Filling the Weather-Climate Gap. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, 767-770. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0037.A
- Krishnamurthy, V., J. Meixner, L. Stephanova, J. Wang, D. Worthen, S. Moorthi, B. Li, T. Sluka, and C. Stan, 2021: Sources of subseasonal predictability over CONUS during Boreal Summer. Journal of Climate, 39, 3273-3294. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0586.1 2020
- Lybarger, N. D., C.-S. Shin, and C. Stan, 2020: MJO Wind energy and prediction of El Niño. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 125, e2020JC016732. doi:10.1029/2020JC016732
- Wang, J., H. Kim, D. Kim, S. A. Henderson, C. Stan, and E. D. Maloney, 2020: MJO teleconnections over PNA region in climate models. Part II: Impacts of MJO and basic state. Journal of Climate, 33, 5081-5101, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0865.1
- Merryfield, W. J. and Co-authors, 2020: Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, 869-896, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0037.1
- Wang, J., H. Kim, D. Kim, S. A. Henderson, C. Stan, and E. D. Maloney, 2020: MJO teleconnections over PNA region in climate models. Part I: Performance- and process-based skill metrics. Journal of Climate, 33, 1051-1067, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0253.1 2019
- Swenson, E. T., and C. Stan, 2019: Sensitivity of atmospheric rivers to damping of mid-latitude sub-seasonal variability. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmosphere, 124, 9935-9947, doi:10.1029/2018JD029934
- Lybarger, N. D., and C. Stan, 2019: Revisiting MJO, Kelvin waves, and El Niño relationship using a simple ocean model. Climate Dynamics, 53, 6363-6377, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04936-5
- Stan, C., and V. Krishnamurthy, 2019: Intra-seasonal and Seasonal Variability of the Northern Hemisphere Extra-tropics, Climate Dynamics, 53, 4821-4839, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04827-9
- Stan, C. and D. M. Straus, 2019: The impact of cloud representation on the sub-seasonal forecasts of atmospheric teleconnections and preferred circulation regimes in the Northern Hemisphere, Atmosphere-Ocean, 57, 233-248. doi:10.1080/07055900.2019.1590178
- Jin, Y., and C. Stan, 2019: Changes of East Asian Summer monsoon due to tropical air-sea interactions induced by a global warming scenario, Climatic Change, 153, 341-359. doi:10.1007/s10584-019-02396-8
- Lin, H., R. Mo, F. Vitart, and C. Stan, 2019: Eastern Canada flooding 2017 and its subseasonal predictions, Atmosphere-Ocean, 57, 195-207. doi:10.1080/07055900.2018.1547679 2018
- Stan, C., 2018: The role of SST variability on the simulation of the MJO, Climate Dynamics, 51, 2943-2964. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-4058-2
- Lybarger, N. D. and C. Stan, 2018: The effect of the MJO on the energetics of El Niño, Climate Dynamics, 51, 2825-2839. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-4047-5 2017
- Stan, C., D. M. Straus, J. S. Frederiksen, H. Lin, E. D. Maloney, and C. Schumacher, 2017: Review of tropical-extratropical teleconnections on intraseasonal time scales, Reviews of Geophysics, 55, 902-937. doi:10.1002/2016RG000538
- Xu, K. -M., Z. Li, A. Cheng, P. N. Blossey, and C. Stan, 2017: Differences in the hydrological cycle and sensitivity between multiscale mdoeling frameworks with and without a higher order turbulence closure. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, doi:10.1002/2017MS000970 2016
- Randall, D., C. DeMott, C. Stan, M. Khairoutdinov, J. Benedict, K. Thayer-Calder, and M. Branson, 2016: Simulations of the tropical general circulation with a multiscale global model. Meteorological Monographs, 56, 15.1-15.15. doi:10.1175/AMSMONOGRAPHS-D-15-0016.1
- Jin, Y., and C. Stan, 2016: Simulation of East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM) in SP-CCSM4--Part I: Seasonal mean state and intraseasonal variability. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmosphere, 121, 7801-7818. doi:10.1002/2015JD024035 2015
- Zhu, X. and C. Stan, 2015: Projection of summer precipitation over southeastern U.S. in the super-parameterized CCSM4. Journal of Climate, 28, 8052-8066. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00765.1
- Jiang, X., D. E. Waliser, P. K. Xavier, J. Petch, N. P. Klingaman, S. J. Woolnough, B. Guan, G. Bellon, T. Crueger, C. DeMott, C. Hannay, H. Lin, W. Hu, D. Kim, C. -L. Lappen, M. -M. Lu, H. -Y. Ma, T. Miyakawa, J. A. Ridout, S. D. Schubert, J. Sinocca, K. -H. Seo, E. Shindo, X. Song, C. Stan, W. -L. Tseng, W. Wang, T. Wu, X. Wu, K. Wyser, G. J. Zhang, and H. Zu, 2015: Vertical structure and physical processes of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Exploring key model physics in climate simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research, 120, 4718-4748. doi:10.1002/2014JD022375
- Krishnamurthy, V., and C. Stan, 2015: Simulation of the South American climate by a coupled model with super-parameterized convection. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2476-6 2014
- Zhu, X., L. Xu, and C. Stan, 2014: Projections of the Tropical Atlantic vertical wind shear and its relationship with ENSO in SP-CCSM4. Journal of Climate, 27, 8342-8356, doi:10.1175/JCLID-13-00676.1
- McCrary, R. R., D. A. Randall, and C.Stan, 2014: Simulations of the West African monsoon with a superparameterzed climate model. Part II: African Easterly Waves. Journal of Climate, 27, 83233-8341, doi:10.1175/JCLID-13-00677.1
- McCrary, R. R., D. A. Randall, and C.Stan, 2014: Simulations of the West African monsoon with a superparameterzed climate model. Part I: The seasonal cycle. Journal of Climate, 27, 8303-8322, doi:10.1175/JCLID-13-00676.1
- Bretherton, S. C., P. N. Blossey, and C. Stan, 2014: Cloud feedbacks on greenhouse warming in the superparameterized climate model SP-CCSM4. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, doi:10.1002/2014MS000355
- Stan, C, and L. Xu, 2014: Climate simulations and projections with a super-parameterized climate model. Environmental Modeling and Software, 60, 134-152, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.06.013
- DeMott, C. A., C. Stan, M. Branson, and D. A. Randall, 2014: Intraseasonal variability in coupled GCMs: The role of ocean feedbacks and model physics. Journal of Climate, 27, 4970-4995, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00760.1
- Narapusetty, B., C. Stan, and A. Kumar, 2014: Bias corrections methods for decadal sea-surface temperature forecasts. Tellus, 66, 23681, doi:10.3402/tellusa.v66.23681
- Krishnamurthy, V., C. Stan, D. A. Randall, R. P. Shukla, and J. L. Kinter, III, 2014: Simulation of the South Asian monsoon in a coupled model with an embedded cloud-resolving model. Journal of Climate, 27,1121-1142, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00257.1 2013
- DeMott, C. A., C. Stan, and D. A. Randall, 2013: Northward propagation mechanisms of the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation in the ERA-Interim and SP-CCSM. Journal of Climate, 26, 1973-1992, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00191.1
- Kinter, J. L. III, D. Achuthavarier, J. M. Adams, E. L. Altshuler, B. A. Cash, P. Dirmeyer, B. Doty, B. Huang, L. Marx, J. Manganello, C. Stan, T. Wakefield, K. Jin, T. Palmer, M. Hamrund, T. Jung, M. Miler, P. Towers, N. Wedi, M. Satoh, H. Tomita, C. Kodama, Y. Yamada, P. Andrews, T. Baer, M. Ezel, C. Halloy, D. John, B. Loftis, and K. Wong, 2013: Revolutionizing Climate Modeling-Project Athena: A Multi-Institutional, International Collaboration. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94, 231-245, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00043.1 2012
- Stan, C., 2012: Is cumulus convection the concertmaster of tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic? Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1029/2012GL053449
- Kirtman, B. P., C. Bitz, F. Bryan, W. Collins, J. Dennis, N. Hearn, J. L. Kinter III, R. Loft, C. Rousset, L. Siqueira, C. Stan, R. Tomas, and M. Vertenstein, 2012: Impact of ocean model resolution on CCSM climate simulations. Climate Dynamics, 39, 1303-1328, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1500-3
- Narapusetty, B., C. Stan, B. P. Kirtman, P. S. Schopf, L. Marx, and J. L. Kinter III, 2012: The role of atmospheric internal variability on the tropical instability wave dynamics. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 117, doi:10.1029/2012JC007906
- Dirmeyer, P. A., B. A. Cash, J. L. Kinter III, T. Jung, L. Marx, M. Satoh, C. Stan, H. Tomita, P. Towers, N. Wedi, D. Achuthavarier, J. M. Adams, E. L. Altshuler, B. Huang, E. K. Jin, and J. Manganello, 2012: Simulating the hydrologic diurnal cycle in global climate models: Resolution versus parameterization. Climate Dynamics, 39, 399-418, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1127-9
- Dirmeyer, P. A., B. A. Cash, J. L. Kinter, III, C. Stan, T. Jung, L. Marx, P. Towers, N. Wedi, J. M. Adams, Eric L. Altshuler, B. Huang, E. K. Jin, J. Manganello, 2012: Evidence for enhanced land-atmosphere feedback in a warming climate. J. Hydrometeor., 13, 981-995, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-11-0104.1
- Manganello, J. V., K. I. Hodges, J. L. Kinter III, B. A. Cash, L. Marx, T. Jung, D. Achuthavarier, J. M. Adams, B. Huang, E. K. Jin, C. Stan, P. Towers, N. Wedi, 2012: Tropical cyclone climatology in a 10-km global atmospheric GCM: Toward weather-resolving climate modeling. Journal of Climate, 25, 3867-3893, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00346.1
- Jung, T., M. Miller, T. Palmer, P. Towers, D. Achuthavarier, J. M. Adams, E. L. Altshuler, B. A. Cash, J. L. Kinter III, L. Marx, C. Stan and K. Hodges, 2012: High-resolution global climate simulations in the ECMWF model in Project Athena: Experimental design, model climate and seasonal forecast skill. Journal of Climate, 25, 3155-3172, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00265.1 2011
- DeMott, C. A., C. Stan, D. A. Randall, J. L. Kinter III, and M. Khairoutdinov, 2011: The Asian monsoon in the super-parameterized CCSM and its relationship to tropical wave activity. Journal of Climate, 24, 5134-5156, doi:10.1175/2011JCLI4202.1
- Hu, Z. Z., B. Huang, Y. T. Hou, W. Wang, F. Yang, C. Stan, and E. K. Schneider, 2011: Sensitivity of tropical climate to low-level clouds in teh NCEP climate forecast system. Climate Dynamics, 36, 1795-1811, doi:10.1007/soo382-010-0797-z 2010
- Stan, C., M. Khairoutdinov, C. A. DeMott, V. Krishnamurthy, D. M. Straus, D. A. Randall, J. L. Kinter III, J. Shukla, 2010: An ocean-atmosphere climate simulation with an embedded cloud resolving model. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L01702, doi:10.1029/2009GL040822 2009
- Stan, C. and D. M. Straus, 2009: Stratospheric predictability and sudden stratospheric warming events. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmosphere, 114, D12103, doi:10.1029/2008JD011277 2008
- Stan, C. and B. P. Kirtman, 2008: The influence of atmospheric noise and uncertainty in ocean initial conditions on the limit of predictability in a coupled GCM. Journal of Climate, 21, 3487-3503, doi:10.1175/2007JCLI2071.1 2007
- Stan, C. and D. M. Straus, 2007:Is blocking a circulation regime?Monthly Weather Review, 135, 2406-2413, doi: 10.1175/MWR3410.1.
- Stan, C. and D. A. Randall, 2007: Potential vorticity as meridional coordinate, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 64, 621-633, doi: 10.1175/JAS3839.1.