Where are the female physicists?

 

Robert Ehrlich

George Mason University

Fairfax, VA 22030

The existence and reasons behind gender and racial under-representation among scientists has been a long-standing concern of both scientists and policymakers in the U.S. and elsewhere.  Projections show, however, that women may become the majority of science Ph.D. recipients in the United States as soon as 2008.   Nevertheless, the under-representation of women in some sciences, most especially physics is far greater than other sciences, and it is unlikely to be reversed in the foreseeable future.  With the aid of two recent studies on academic women in physics, we find several correlations that account for variations in percentages in numbers of women faculty and graduate students in physics and astronomy departments at U.S. Universities.  Here we look specifically at how the percentages of women physics faculty tend to correlate with department size, gender distribution of graduate students, geographic location, and departmental selectivity in admissions. 

 

Introduction.

Recently, considerable attention has been given to the matter of gender bias in science, including its causes and consequences.1  Even with the continuing existence of such bias, it is worth noting, however, that women science Ph. D’s are not a rarity.  In fact, projections from the data show that women might be in the majority of science doctorates by the year 2008.  Already by 2003 women received 45.8% of science Ph.D.’s – a 9.8% rise since 1991 – according to the National Science Foundation.2   Since the percentage of women BS degrees in science rose 4.1% from 1994 to 2001,3 a corresponding rise at the Ph.D. level (given an average seven year delay between receipt of BS and Ph.D. degrees), could put women in the majority of science Ph.D. recipients by the year 2008 or 2009 at the latest.  Admittedly, women science faculty at universities will still be greatly outnumbered by their male peers, given that on the average science faculty received their doctorates many years ago, when women science Ph.D.’s were indeed a rarity, but that situation also will change over time.

 

But what is true for science generally is untrue for certain fields of science, notably physics, where in 2003 women still earned only 18% of all Ph.D.’s in the U.S. – albeit a record high (up from a meager 4% in 1972).4  On the other hand, given a rise of only 3.3% per decade in the percentage of physics Ph.D.’s going to women, it probably will be many decades if ever before the gender gap begins to close in physics.  Given this reality, it is worth trying to understand better which universities are especially successful in attracting female physicists (faculty and graduate students), and what factors are responsible for their success.  Two recent studies in particular are especially helpful: (1) “Women in Physics and Astronomy, 2005,”4 prepared by the American Institute of Physics (AIP), and (2) an ongoing online survey conducted by the Committee on the Status of Women in Physics (CSWP),5 a committee of the American Physical Society.  The latter survey has elicited  145 responses from departments of physics or physics and astronomy that grant physics Ph.D.’s, as of July 24, 2007.  Both studies relied on self-reported data supplied by individual physics and astronomy departments at Ph.D.-granting institutions.  The AIP study makes it clear that the U.S. is not alone in having few women in physics, and that most countries award less than 20% of their physics Ph.D.’s to women.  With regard to physics degrees at the baccalaureate level, some readers may be surprised to learn the identity of the nation having the largest percentage (39%) of physics degrees awarded to women.6  The AIP study also identifies ten U.S. schools which have a particularly healthy output of female physics Ph.D.’s (over 25% during the years 1999 – 2003), and suggests that it might be worthwhile to learn what these schools are doing right.

 

Analysis of Data.

In the CWSP survey respondents provide both written paragraphs describing what makes their departments “female-friendly,” and quantitative data on graduate students and faculty.  Using the quantitative data we have looked for factors that may account for high percentages of female graduate students and faculty in physics in those schools and others.  Our results are illustrated in figures 1,2 and 3.  As the trend line of Fig 1 shows, a correlation can be found between schools having higher than average percentages of female physics faculty and female physics graduate students.  Although the correlation is weak (small slope of the best fit trend line), it is statistically significant at a level of p = 0.0009.  It seems unlikely that females would apply to graduate schools based on their knowledge of how many women faculty they had, and most of them probably decide on a graduate school using the same criteria as their male peers.  However, some women might be attracted to schools that had a “female-friendly” atmosphere based on a visit there, word of mouth, or their having attended the school as an undergraduate.

 

Two specific groups of departments have been flagged in figure 1: (1) those who were highlighted in the AIP survey as giving more than 25% of Ph.D.’s to women during 1999-2003 (seven schools shown with open squares), and (2) those six departments (shown with open triangles) having a female chair based on her first name, according to a 2007 AIP directory.7  Most of these 13 departments with one or two exceptions would seem to have unremarkable percentages of female faculty and graduate students, which suggests that (a) the schools identified in the AIP report as having a high output of female physics Ph.D.’s during 1999-2003 may simply represent a statistical fluctuation for many of them, and (b) the presence or absence of a female department chair is also not highly correlated with large percentages of female faculty or graduate students.

 

In order to learn what factors in fact influence the percentages of females among the physics faculty and graduate student population, we have looked the departments of fig 1 which are “above average female representation,” i.e., have more than 10% females among the faculty and also more than 20% among the graduate students, and those that are “below average female representation,” i.e., have less than 10% females among the faculty and also less than 20% among the graduate students.  These departments show an interesting geographic correlation: only one of the 29 “above average” schools are in the south (not counting the border state of Virginia or the Western state of New Mexico), while as many as 12 out of 39 “below average” schools are in the south.

 

To find other correlations we have investigated the relationship between the number of tenured and tenure-track faculty in a department and the percentage of faculty who are female.  Although, we would expect that larger physics and astronomy departments tend to have more women faculty in absolute numbers, it is less clear what to expect concerning the percentages.  In fact, as fig 2 shows, larger departments tend to have lower percentages of female faculty.   Given that the number of females must be integral, the data points of fig 2 all lie on a set of hyperbolas indicating those departments having 1, 2, 3, … tenured or tenure-track faculty.  My own institution (flagged with an open square) happens to have the largest percentage of tenured or tenure-track faculty of all 145 physics and astronomy departments surveyed (as of July 24, 2007) who have 10 or more faculty members, although it does not have the largest number, an honor belonging to the University of Michigan, Applied Physics Department (flaged with an open triangle), which has 14 female tenured and tenure-track faculty out of a faculty of 70.   The factors accounting for the high percentage of women faculty at George Mason University are not unlike some other schools in the CWSP survey.8   The reason that larger departments tend to have lower percentages of female faculty is due to simple demographics – they tend to have a larger percentage of senior faculty, who received their Ph.D.’s many years ago, when female physics doctorates were a rarity, and when discrimination against women was not forbidden by law, i.e., before passage of the civil rights act.9

 

One final correlation we have investigated is between the “selectiveness” of a graduate program and its percentage of women graduate students.  Selectiveness is shorthand here for schools that accept a low percentage of applicants to their physics and astronomy Ph.D. programs.  Since the physics Graduate Record Exam (GRE) plays a significant factor in evaluating graduate applicants,10 and since it has been found that females score more poorly on this exam by on the average 150 points,11 one might expect that female graduate students are scarcer at more selective institutions – at least to the extent that they rely on GRE scores as a significant factor in admission decisions.  Surprisingly, however, the trend – albeit a weak one – is in the reverse direction, as can be seen in fig 3, with more selective institutions having on the average higher percentages of female graduate students.  Thus, suppose we arbitrarily define “more selective” institutions as those admitting fewer than 20% of applicants, and we also define “many” female graduate students, as more than 25% women.  Figure 3 shows that among more selective schools 36% have many female graduate students, while among other schools only 21% have many females.  One can imagine many possible explanations for this surprising correlation, including (a) greater percentages of females than males applying to more selective schools, (b) greater recognition by selective schools that the physics GRE has limited utility in predicting success in graduate school,12 and (c) greater possibilities of scholarships for talented female Ph.D. students.  (We put little credence in the idea that the better programs are unfairly accepting more women than are justified from GRE test scores,  just for the sake of making their statistics look good.)

 

If the correlation between program selectivity and percentage of women graduate students is genuine,13  it is a piece of good news, since females and males have comparable dropout rates in physics graduate programs.4  It means that future women physics Ph.D.’s will on the average come from more selective schools than their male peers, and will be at a competitive advantage in the hiring process.  Additionally, such a correlation undermines the misguided belief that women tend to be ill-suited to be in the forefront of physics.

 


Fig 1.  Dependence of the percentage of physics graduate students who are female on the percentage of faculty who are female.  The meaning of the data points shown by squares and diamonds is discussed in the text.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fig 2. Dependence of the percentage of women physics faculty on the department size.


Fig 3.  Dependence of the percentage of graduate physics students who are female on the selectivity of the program.


References

 

1. Maxine Singer, et al., Beyond Bias and Barriers, Science 314, 893 (2006).

 

2. Chapter 2, “Science Indicators, 2006,” National Science Foundation, Arlington, VA.

 

3. See ref 2.  Note that “science” as defined by the National Science Foundation includes social science as well as natural science, however, the percentages of women in the social sciences are actually lower than those in science generally at the bachelor’s level.

 

4. R. Ivie and K.N. Ray, “Women in Physics and Astronomy, 2005,” AIP publication Number R-43002, Statistical Research Center, The American Institute of Physics,  College Park, MD, February, 2005.

 

5. “Survey by the Committee on the Status of Women in Physics,” See: http://cswp.womeninphysics.org/results.php.  For each institution, the questionnaire asked the following:  How many tenure-track or tenured faculty -- male/female? How many graduate students -- male/female?  Is there a family leave policy for graduate students?  If so, describe.  Is there family health insurance available for graduate students?  Is it included in the stipend?  In a paragraph, please describe why someone applying to graduate school who is interested in a female-friendly department should choose your institution.

 

6.  Turkey.

 

7. “2007 Graduate Programs in Physics, Astronomy and Related Fields,” American Institute of Physics, Melville, NY 2006.

 

8. The main three factors include a welcoming attitude by both male and female faculty to women in senior positions of leadership, an existing critical mass of highly successful female faculty,  and an understanding policy regarding maternity and paternity

 

9. E. Mielczarek, letter to the editor, Science 27, October 2006 314: 592.

 

10. This claim can be verified based on the large number of schools that either require or strongly recommend that graduate applicants take the physics GRE in the 2007 A.I.P Directory of graduate programs.  An informal sampling of 10 department chairs indicates that in all but one case, “some” or “major” weight is given to the GRE score in admissions decisions – this despite the fact that a majority of the chairs polled were aware of the research claiming that the GRE score is not a good predictor of later success in graduate school or in research.  The chairs were evenly split on whether the score is useful for all applicants or only those who seem marginal or come from schools with an unknown reputation

 

11. APS News, The American Physical Society, July 1996.

 

12.  A quick informal survey of the web sites of a number of physics departments showas that many do require or strongly recommend the physics GRE exam for applicants.  However,  they also usually say that there is no minimum score required on the GRE, and that top grades and strong recommendations outweigh GRE scores.  In a thoughtful essay, Howard Giorgi, former chair of the Harvard University Physics Department offers a number of reasons why this may be the case in the newsletter: “STATUS, A Report on Women in Astronomy,” January 2000.  Moreover, as reported in ref 6, a study of Harvard graduate students in physics found that “while there was a slight correlation between GRE scores and graduate course grades, there was no correlation with other measures of success in graduate school, including oral exam scores, and overall completion time for the Ph.D. degree.”  Giorgi further notes that the GRE was most useful in judging applicants from small colleges where the University had little or no experience with previous students.

 

13. It may not be because it depends largely on four schools having acceptance rates greater than 60%, and it might depend on confounding variables, such as the percentage of foreign applicants.